cbb·system

Liberty Flames

mens ASUN canonical name from espn_mbb #12 Round of 64 (out) 2025

Ratings · 2025

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.14 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.02 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.12 points per possession 0.19
PACE 65.78 possessions per game 4.47

At season 2025's latest cutoff (2025-04-08 00:50), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Liberty AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025. Axis spans -0.28 to 0.66 over 135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2025

SeasonWLPct
2025287 0.800

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdLiberty auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2025-03-22 2025 Liberty @ Oregon N 52–81 ncaa_tournament
2025-03-16 2025 Jacksonville State @ Liberty N 67–79 conf_tournament
2025-03-14 2025 Kennesaw State @ Liberty N 79–81 conf_tournament
2025-03-12 2025 UTEP @ Liberty N 60–81 conf_tournament
2025-03-08 2025 Liberty @ Western Kentucky 90–61 regular
2025-03-07 2025 Liberty @ Middle Tennessee 86–81 regular
2025-03-02 2025 Kennesaw State @ Liberty 85–80 regular
2025-02-28 2025 Jacksonville State @ Liberty 55–59 regular
2025-02-22 2025 Florida International @ Liberty 45–58 regular
2025-02-16 2025 Liberty @ UTEP 76–69 regular
2025-02-14 2025 Liberty @ New Mexico State 64–54 regular
2025-02-08 2025 Sam Houston @ Liberty 61–64 regular
2025-02-07 2025 Louisiana Tech @ Liberty 53–77 regular
2025-02-01 2025 Liberty @ Jacksonville State 61–72 regular
2025-01-31 2025 Liberty @ Kennesaw State 76–68 regular
2025-01-25 2025 Liberty @ Florida International 82–59 regular
2025-01-19 2025 New Mexico State @ Liberty 60–68 regular
2025-01-17 2025 UTEP @ Liberty 72–70 regular
2025-01-12 2025 Liberty @ Louisiana Tech 74–79 regular
2025-01-10 2025 Liberty @ Sam Houston 76–68 regular
2025-01-04 2025 Middle Tennessee @ Liberty 63–73 regular
2025-01-03 2025 Western Kentucky @ Liberty 71–70 regular
2024-12-21 2025 UT Arlington @ Liberty 56–79 regular
2024-12-18 2025 St. Andrews @ Liberty 50–124 non_d1
2024-12-15 2025 North Carolina A&T @ Liberty 74–83 regular
2024-12-08 2025 Mississippi Valley State @ Liberty 52–89 regular
2024-11-29 2025 Central Penn @ Liberty 36–93 non_d1
2024-11-26 2025 McNeese @ Liberty N 58–62 regular
2024-11-25 2025 Liberty @ Kansas State N 67–65 regular
2024-11-22 2025 Louisiana @ Liberty N 69–89 regular
2024-11-17 2025 Liberty @ Charleston 68–47 regular
2024-11-16 2025 Liberty @ Florida Atlantic N 74–77 regular
2024-11-13 2025 Carolina University @ Liberty 45–81 non_d1
2024-11-10 2025 Liberty @ Seattle U 66–64 regular
2024-11-04 2025 Valparaiso @ Liberty N 63–83 regular