cbb·system

Sacramento State Hornets

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Round of 64 (out) 2023

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.08 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.95 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.13 points per possession 0.18
PACE 63.11 possessions per game 4.86

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-02 19:30), with 33 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Sacramento State AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans -0.26 to 0.52 over 125 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
2023258 0.758

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbSacramento State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-19 2023 Sacramento State @ UCLA 45–67 ncaa_tournament
2023-03-08 2023 Sacramento State @ Northern Arizona N 76–63 conf_tournament
2023-03-07 2023 Portland State @ Sacramento State N 42–60 conf_tournament
2023-03-06 2023 Idaho @ Sacramento State N 58–73 conf_tournament
2023-02-28 2023 Portland State @ Sacramento State 54–80 regular
2023-02-25 2023 Montana @ Sacramento State 56–63 regular
2023-02-24 2023 Montana State @ Sacramento State 73–82 regular
2023-02-18 2023 Sacramento State @ Idaho State 75–62 regular
2023-02-17 2023 Sacramento State @ Weber State 66–52 regular
2023-02-11 2023 Northern Colorado @ Sacramento State 48–79 regular
2023-02-10 2023 Northern Arizona @ Sacramento State 84–82 regular
2023-02-04 2023 Sacramento State @ Idaho 77–70 regular
2023-02-03 2023 Sacramento State @ Eastern Washington 53–64 regular
2023-01-28 2023 Sacramento State @ Montana State 60–61 regular
2023-01-27 2023 Sacramento State @ Montana 77–81 regular
2023-01-21 2023 Weber State @ Sacramento State 44–70 regular
2023-01-20 2023 Idaho State @ Sacramento State 52–66 regular
2023-01-14 2023 Sacramento State @ Northern Arizona 67–77 regular
2023-01-13 2023 Sacramento State @ Northern Colorado 73–41 regular
2023-01-07 2023 Eastern Washington @ Sacramento State 74–82 regular
2023-01-06 2023 Idaho @ Sacramento State 56–71 regular
2022-12-31 2023 Sacramento State @ Portland State 65–56 regular
2022-12-21 2023 Sacramento State @ Cal State Fullerton 67–55 regular
2022-12-20 2023 Sacramento State @ Cal State Northridge 63–61 regular
2022-12-10 2023 Cal State Bakersfield @ Sacramento State 46–67 regular
2022-12-07 2023 Sacramento State @ San Diego State 59–70 regular
2022-12-03 2023 Fresno State @ Sacramento State 61–62 regular
2022-11-26 2023 UTEP @ Sacramento State N 50–63 regular
2022-11-25 2023 Sacramento State @ Cal Poly 70–62 regular
2022-11-23 2023 Sacramento State @ UC Davis N 67–45 regular
2022-11-20 2023 UC Santa Barbara @ Sacramento State 68–70 regular
2022-11-15 2023 Sacramento State @ Santa Clara 73–63 regular
2022-11-12 2023 UC Irvine @ Sacramento State 60–58 regular