cbb·system

Marquette Golden Eagles

mens Big East canonical name from espn_mbb #2 Round of 32 (out) 2023

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.20 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.98 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.22 points per possession 0.19
PACE 68.16 possessions per game 4.26

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-04 01:20), with 36 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Marquette AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans -0.19 to 0.61 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
2023297 0.806

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdMarquette auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-19 2023 Michigan State @ Marquette N 69–60 ncaa_tournament
2023-03-17 2023 Vermont @ Marquette N 61–78 ncaa_tournament
2023-03-11 2023 Xavier @ Marquette N 51–65 conf_tournament
2023-03-10 2023 UConn @ Marquette N 68–70 conf_tournament
2023-03-09 2023 St. John's @ Marquette N 70–72 conf_tournament
2023-03-04 2023 St. John's @ Marquette 94–96 regular
2023-02-28 2023 Marquette @ Butler 72–56 regular
2023-02-26 2023 DePaul @ Marquette 84–90 regular
2023-02-22 2023 Marquette @ Creighton 73–71 regular
2023-02-16 2023 Xavier @ Marquette 68–69 regular
2023-02-11 2023 Marquette @ Georgetown 89–75 regular
2023-02-07 2023 Marquette @ UConn 72–87 regular
2023-02-04 2023 Butler @ Marquette 52–60 regular
2023-02-02 2023 Villanova @ Marquette 64–73 regular
2023-01-28 2023 Marquette @ DePaul 89–69 regular
2023-01-21 2023 Marquette @ Seton Hall 74–53 regular
2023-01-19 2023 Providence @ Marquette 75–83 regular
2023-01-15 2023 Marquette @ Xavier 76–80 regular
2023-01-12 2023 UConn @ Marquette 76–82 regular
2023-01-07 2023 Georgetown @ Marquette 73–95 regular
2023-01-03 2023 Marquette @ St. John's 96–85 regular
2022-12-31 2023 Marquette @ Villanova 68–66 regular
2022-12-28 2023 Seton Hall @ Marquette 69–83 regular
2022-12-21 2023 Marquette @ Providence 98–103 regular
2022-12-17 2023 Creighton @ Marquette 58–69 regular
2022-12-11 2023 Marquette @ Notre Dame 79–64 regular
2022-12-07 2023 North Carolina Central @ Marquette 78–90 regular
2022-12-03 2023 Wisconsin @ Marquette 80–77 regular
2022-11-30 2023 Baylor @ Marquette 70–96 regular
2022-11-27 2023 Chicago State @ Marquette 68–82 regular
2022-11-23 2023 Marquette @ Georgia Tech N 84–60 regular
2022-11-22 2023 Marquette @ Mississippi State N 55–58 regular
2022-11-18 2023 Long Island University @ Marquette 58–95 regular
2022-11-16 2023 Marquette @ Purdue 70–75 regular
2022-11-11 2023 Central Michigan @ Marquette 73–97 regular
2022-11-08 2023 Radford @ Marquette 69–79 regular