Michigan State Spartans
mens
Big Ten
canonical name from espn_mbb
#11 Play-in (out) 2021
Ratings · 2021
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.09 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 0.95 | points per possession | 0.14 |
| ME | 0.13 | points per possession | 0.19 |
| PACE | 67.76 | possessions per game | 4.50 |
At season 2021's latest cutoff
(2021-04-04 00:47),
with 32 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2021.
Axis spans -0.36 to 0.53 over
110 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2021
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 15 | 13 | 0.536 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Michigan State | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-03-19 | 2021 | UCLA @ Michigan State N | 86–80 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2021-03-11 | 2021 | Michigan State @ Maryland N | 57–68 | conf_tournament |
| 2021-03-07 | 2021 | Michigan @ Michigan State | 64–70 | regular |
| 2021-03-05 | 2021 | Michigan State @ Michigan | 50–69 | regular |
| 2021-03-03 | 2021 | Indiana @ Michigan State | 58–64 | regular |
| 2021-02-28 | 2021 | Michigan State @ Maryland | 55–73 | regular |
| 2021-02-26 | 2021 | Ohio State @ Michigan State | 67–71 | regular |
| 2021-02-24 | 2021 | Illinois @ Michigan State | 72–81 | regular |
| 2021-02-20 | 2021 | Michigan State @ Indiana | 78–71 | regular |
| 2021-02-17 | 2021 | Michigan State @ Purdue | 65–75 | regular |
| 2021-02-13 | 2021 | Iowa @ Michigan State | 88–58 | regular |
| 2021-02-10 | 2021 | Penn State @ Michigan State | 58–60 | regular |
| 2021-02-06 | 2021 | Nebraska @ Michigan State | 56–66 | regular |
| 2021-02-03 | 2021 | Michigan State @ Iowa | 78–84 | regular |
| 2021-01-31 | 2021 | Michigan State @ Ohio State | 62–79 | regular |
| 2021-01-29 | 2021 | Michigan State @ Rutgers | 37–67 | regular |
| 2021-01-23 | 2021 | Illinois @ Michigan State | scheduled | regular |
| 2021-01-17 | 2021 | Indiana @ Michigan State | scheduled | regular |
| 2021-01-15 | 2021 | Michigan State @ Iowa | scheduled | regular |
| 2021-01-09 | 2021 | Purdue @ Michigan State | 55–54 | regular |
| 2021-01-06 | 2021 | Rutgers @ Michigan State | 45–68 | regular |
| 2021-01-03 | 2021 | Michigan State @ Nebraska | 84–77 | regular |
| 2020-12-29 | 2021 | Michigan State @ Minnesota | 56–81 | regular |
| 2020-12-25 | 2021 | Wisconsin @ Michigan State | 85–76 | regular |
| 2020-12-21 | 2021 | Michigan State @ Northwestern | 65–79 | regular |
| 2020-12-13 | 2021 | Oakland @ Michigan State | 91–109 | regular |
| 2020-12-10 | 2021 | Michigan State @ Virginia | canceled | regular |
| 2020-12-06 | 2021 | Western Michigan @ Michigan State | 61–79 | regular |
| 2020-12-04 | 2021 | Detroit Mercy @ Michigan State | 76–83 | regular |
| 2020-12-02 | 2021 | Michigan State @ Duke | 75–69 | regular |
| 2020-11-29 | 2021 | Notre Dame @ Michigan State | 70–80 | regular |
| 2020-11-25 | 2021 | Eastern Michigan @ Michigan State | 67–83 | regular |