cbb·system

New Mexico Lobos

mens Mountain West canonical name from espn_mbb #10 Round of 32 (out) 2025

Ratings · 2025

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.14 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.94 points per possession 0.15
ME 0.20 points per possession 0.20
PACE 72.38 possessions per game 4.15

At season 2025's latest cutoff (2025-04-08 00:50), with 34 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

New Mexico AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025. Axis spans -0.27 to 0.61 over 135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2025

SeasonWLPct
2025278 0.771

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdNew Mexico auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2025-03-24 2025 New Mexico @ Michigan State N 63–71 ncaa_tournament
2025-03-21 2025 New Mexico @ Marquette N 75–66 ncaa_tournament
2025-03-15 2025 Boise State @ New Mexico N 72–69 conf_tournament
2025-03-13 2025 San José State @ New Mexico N 52–63 conf_tournament
2025-03-08 2025 UNLV @ New Mexico 67–81 regular
2025-03-05 2025 New Mexico @ Nevada 71–67 regular
2025-03-01 2025 Air Force @ New Mexico 71–92 regular
2025-02-26 2025 New Mexico @ San Diego State 65–73 regular
2025-02-20 2025 New Mexico @ Boise State 78–86 regular
2025-02-16 2025 Utah State @ New Mexico 79–82 regular
2025-02-13 2025 Wyoming @ New Mexico 67–71 regular
2025-02-08 2025 New Mexico @ Air Force 88–53 regular
2025-02-06 2025 Colorado State @ New Mexico 65–87 regular
2025-02-02 2025 New Mexico @ Utah State 82–63 regular
2025-01-25 2025 New Mexico @ UNLV 75–73 regular
2025-01-20 2025 Fresno State @ New Mexico 67–95 regular
2025-01-18 2025 Boise State @ New Mexico 65–84 regular
2025-01-15 2025 New Mexico @ San José State 70–71 regular
2025-01-11 2025 San Diego State @ New Mexico 48–62 regular
2025-01-08 2025 New Mexico @ Wyoming 61–53 regular
2025-01-04 2025 Nevada @ New Mexico 81–82 regular
2025-01-01 2025 New Mexico @ Fresno State 103–89 regular
2024-12-28 2025 New Mexico @ Colorado State 76–68 regular
2024-12-19 2025 VCU @ New Mexico 71–78 regular
2024-12-15 2025 Western New Mexico @ New Mexico 70–122 non_d1
2024-12-08 2025 New Mexico State @ New Mexico 89–83 regular
2024-12-05 2025 San José State @ New Mexico 77–83 regular
2024-11-30 2025 USC @ New Mexico N 73–83 regular
2024-11-29 2025 Arizona State @ New Mexico N 85–82 regular
2024-11-25 2025 Texas Southern @ New Mexico 68–99 regular
2024-11-22 2025 Grambling @ New Mexico 58–80 regular
2024-11-17 2025 New Mexico @ St. John's 71–85 regular
2024-11-13 2025 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ New Mexico 81–100 regular
2024-11-09 2025 New Mexico @ UCLA N 72–64 regular
2024-11-05 2025 Nicholls @ New Mexico 84–91 regular