cbb·system

USC Trojans

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2019

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.07 points per possession 0.14
DE 0.83 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.24 points per possession 0.19
PACE 69.85 possessions per game 4.77

At season 2019's latest cutoff (2019-04-07 22:00), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

USC AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2019. Axis spans -1.13 to 1.75 over 130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2019

SeasonWLPct
20191713 0.567

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbUSC auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2019-03-07 2019 USC @ Arizona N 48–76 conf_tournament
2019-03-03 2019 Utah @ USC 77–83 regular
2019-03-02 2019 Colorado @ USC 77–84 regular
2019-02-24 2019 USC @ Oregon 78–96 regular
2019-02-23 2019 USC @ Oregon State 61–68 regular
2019-02-17 2019 Stanford @ USC 69–67 regular
2019-02-16 2019 California @ USC 76–86 regular
2019-02-10 2019 USC @ Colorado 76–81 regular
2019-02-09 2019 USC @ Utah 84–80 regular
2019-02-03 2019 Washington State @ USC 73–81 regular
2019-02-02 2019 Washington @ USC 57–82 regular
2019-01-27 2019 USC @ Arizona State 59–68 regular
2019-01-26 2019 USC @ Arizona 68–71 regular
2019-01-21 2019 USC @ UCLA 72–67 regular
2019-01-13 2019 Oregon State @ USC 76–52 regular
2019-01-12 2019 Oregon @ USC 93–53 regular
2019-01-06 2019 USC @ California 59–66 regular
2019-01-05 2019 USC @ Stanford 64–72 regular
2018-12-30 2019 UCLA @ USC 72–65 regular
2018-12-22 2019 USC @ UT Arlington 73–61 regular
2018-12-19 2019 USC @ Texas A&M 51–71 regular
2018-12-16 2019 Cal State Northridge @ USC 42–58 regular
2018-12-02 2019 USC @ UNLV 86–72 regular
2018-11-29 2019 Fresno State @ USC 61–62 regular
2018-11-25 2019 USC @ Nevada 72–51 regular
2018-11-24 2019 Utah State @ USC N 46–55 regular
2018-11-17 2019 Santa Clara @ USC 46–77 regular
2018-11-16 2019 UC Santa Barbara @ USC 39–82 regular
2018-11-11 2019 USC @ Long Beach State 86–50 regular
2018-11-07 2019 UC Riverside @ USC 55–73 regular