cbb·system

Bradley Braves

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2018

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.92 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.96 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.04 points per possession 0.18
PACE 68.05 possessions per game 4.90

At season 2018's latest cutoff (2018-04-01 22:00), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Bradley AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2018. Axis spans -0.46 to 0.34 over 123 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2018

SeasonWLPct
20181318 0.419

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbBradley auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2018-03-10 2018 Bradley @ Missouri State N 68–76 conf_tournament
2018-03-09 2018 Evansville @ Bradley N 49–77 conf_tournament
2018-03-03 2018 Illinois State @ Bradley 53–41 regular
2018-02-25 2018 Bradley @ Northern Iowa 50–63 regular
2018-02-24 2018 Bradley @ Drake 71–77 regular
2018-02-18 2018 Indiana State @ Bradley 74–70 regular
2018-02-17 2018 Evansville @ Bradley 47–92 regular
2018-02-11 2018 Bradley @ Southern Illinois 53–62 regular
2018-02-10 2018 Bradley @ Missouri State 54–74 regular
2018-02-04 2018 Loyola Chicago @ Bradley 71–61 regular
2018-02-03 2018 Valparaiso @ Bradley 58–69 regular
2018-01-28 2018 Drake @ Bradley 84–75 regular
2018-01-27 2018 Northern Iowa @ Bradley 51–40 regular
2018-01-21 2018 Bradley @ Evansville 117–59 regular
2018-01-20 2018 Bradley @ Indiana State 50–65 regular
2018-01-14 2018 Missouri State @ Bradley 71–65 regular
2018-01-13 2018 Southern Illinois @ Bradley 63–62 regular
2018-01-07 2018 Bradley @ Valparaiso 88–69 regular
2018-01-06 2018 Bradley @ Loyola Chicago 59–57 regular
2017-12-31 2018 Bradley @ Illinois State 62–42 regular
2017-12-29 2018 Western Illinois @ Bradley 80–87 regular
2017-12-19 2018 Cleveland State @ Bradley 67–65 regular
2017-12-16 2018 Bradley @ Green Bay 40–72 regular
2017-12-06 2018 Bradley @ Eastern Illinois 67–52 regular
2017-12-02 2018 UIC @ Bradley 48–58 regular
2017-11-30 2018 Bradley @ Northern Illinois 52–76 regular
2017-11-25 2018 Bradley @ Southeast Missouri State 53–57 regular
2017-11-24 2018 Nicholls @ Bradley N 65–75 regular
2017-11-18 2018 Bradley @ Illinois 62–74 regular
2017-11-16 2018 Lincoln (MO) @ Bradley 44–88 non_d1
2017-11-11 2018 Omaha @ Bradley 56–69 regular