cbb·system

Indiana State Sycamores

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2018

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.84 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.95 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.11 points per possession 0.18
PACE 68.49 possessions per game 4.87

At season 2018's latest cutoff (2018-04-01 22:00), with 29 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Indiana State AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2018. Axis spans -0.50 to 0.29 over 123 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2018

SeasonWLPct
20181119 0.367

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbIndiana State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2018-03-09 2018 Indiana State @ Southern Illinois N 67–69 conf_tournament
2018-03-03 2018 Indiana State @ Missouri State 56–69 regular
2018-03-02 2018 Indiana State @ Southern Illinois 43–54 regular
2018-02-25 2018 Loyola Chicago @ Indiana State 67–74 regular
2018-02-24 2018 Valparaiso @ Indiana State 46–64 regular
2018-02-18 2018 Indiana State @ Bradley 74–70 regular
2018-02-17 2018 Indiana State @ Illinois State 53–63 regular
2018-02-11 2018 Drake @ Indiana State 84–51 regular
2018-02-10 2018 Northern Iowa @ Indiana State 56–46 regular
2018-02-03 2018 Indiana State @ Evansville 66–57 regular
2018-01-28 2018 Indiana State @ Valparaiso 67–54 regular
2018-01-27 2018 Indiana State @ Loyola Chicago 73–65 regular
2018-01-21 2018 Illinois State @ Indiana State 49–52 regular
2018-01-20 2018 Bradley @ Indiana State 50–65 regular
2018-01-14 2018 Indiana State @ Northern Iowa 53–59 regular
2018-01-13 2018 Indiana State @ Drake 64–85 regular
2018-01-06 2018 Evansville @ Indiana State 48–56 regular
2017-12-31 2018 Southern Illinois @ Indiana State 64–45 regular
2017-12-30 2018 Missouri State @ Indiana State 77–63 regular
2017-12-21 2018 Butler @ Indiana State 60–51 regular
2017-12-20 2018 Miami (OH) @ Indiana State 68–56 regular
2017-12-09 2018 Central Michigan @ Indiana State 77–67 regular
2017-12-08 2018 Indiana State @ Illinois 52–81 regular
2017-12-01 2018 Indiana State @ UIC 46–55 regular
2017-11-29 2018 Missouri S&T @ Indiana State 51–84 non_d1
2017-11-24 2018 Indiana State @ South Dakota N 59–71 regular
2017-11-24 2018 Montana @ Indiana State N 45–57 regular
2017-11-21 2018 Florida Atlantic @ Indiana State 66–58 regular
2017-11-18 2018 Indiana State @ IU Indianapolis 57–86 regular
2017-11-11 2018 Saint Louis @ Indiana State 60–59 regular