cbb·system

Indiana State Sycamores

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2020

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.88 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.96 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.08 points per possession 0.19
PACE 68.51 possessions per game 4.59

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-12 18:00), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Indiana State AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020. Axis spans -0.52 to 0.39 over 107 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

SeasonWLPct
2020525 0.167

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbIndiana State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2020-03-12 2020 Indiana State @ Loyola Chicago N canceled conf_tournament
2020-03-07 2020 Illinois State @ Indiana State 62–55 regular
2020-03-06 2020 Bradley @ Indiana State 68–59 regular
2020-02-29 2020 Indiana State @ Evansville 70–58 regular
2020-02-23 2020 Indiana State @ Missouri State 58–82 regular
2020-02-22 2020 Indiana State @ Southern Illinois 42–60 regular
2020-02-15 2020 Drake @ Indiana State 92–71 regular
2020-02-14 2020 Northern Iowa @ Indiana State 63–65 regular
2020-02-08 2020 Indiana State @ Valparaiso 45–61 regular
2020-02-07 2020 Indiana State @ Loyola Chicago 55–65 regular
2020-02-01 2020 Evansville @ Indiana State 58–68 regular
2020-01-26 2020 Southern Illinois @ Indiana State 78–55 regular
2020-01-25 2020 Missouri State @ Indiana State 76–55 regular
2020-01-19 2020 Indiana State @ Northern Iowa 43–73 regular
2020-01-18 2020 Indiana State @ Drake 65–105 regular
2020-01-12 2020 Loyola Chicago @ Indiana State 58–51 regular
2020-01-10 2020 Valparaiso @ Indiana State 75–56 regular
2020-01-05 2020 Indiana State @ Bradley 75–91 regular
2020-01-04 2020 Indiana State @ Illinois State 69–83 regular
2019-12-30 2020 Saint Louis @ Indiana State 55–53 regular
2019-12-21 2020 Southeast Missouri State @ Indiana State 68–58 regular
2019-12-17 2020 Northern Kentucky @ Indiana State 70–68 regular
2019-12-07 2020 Indiana State @ Murray State 62–70 regular
2019-12-04 2020 Marshall @ Indiana State 72–60 regular
2019-11-30 2020 Indiana State @ Cal State Northridge N 59–67 regular
2019-11-30 2020 Indiana State @ Pacific 66–83 regular
2019-11-26 2020 Indiana State @ Colorado 46–59 regular
2019-11-19 2020 Indiana State @ UIC 61–40 regular
2019-11-14 2020 Indiana State @ Western Illinois 72–83 regular
2019-11-10 2020 Indiana State @ Eastern Illinois 59–57 regular
2019-11-08 2020 Indiana State @ Kansas 72–84 regular