Valparaiso Beacons
mens
MVC
canonical name from espn_mbb
Ratings · 2021
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 0.97 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 1.00 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | -0.03 | points per possession | 0.19 |
| PACE | 66.65 | possessions per game | 4.64 |
At season 2021's latest cutoff
(2021-04-04 00:47),
with 32 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2021.
Axis spans -0.45 to 0.43 over
110 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2021
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 10 | 18 | 0.357 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Valparaiso | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-03-06 | 2021 | Valparaiso @ Missouri State N | 55–66 | conf_tournament |
| 2021-02-27 | 2021 | Indiana State @ Valparaiso | 58–70 | regular |
| 2021-02-27 | 2021 | Indiana State @ Valparaiso | 58–43 | regular |
| 2021-02-23 | 2021 | Valparaiso @ Southern Illinois | 64–67 | regular |
| 2021-02-21 | 2021 | Valparaiso @ Southern Illinois | 66–65 | regular |
| 2021-02-18 | 2021 | Valparaiso @ Loyola Chicago | 52–54 | regular |
| 2021-02-15 | 2021 | Valparaiso @ Northern Iowa | 60–74 | regular |
| 2021-02-14 | 2021 | Valparaiso @ Northern Iowa | 70–57 | regular |
| 2021-02-11 | 2021 | Bradley @ Valparaiso | 76–52 | regular |
| 2021-02-07 | 2021 | Drake @ Valparaiso | 57–74 | regular |
| 2021-02-06 | 2021 | Drake @ Valparaiso | 80–77 | regular |
| 2021-02-02 | 2021 | Valparaiso @ Evansville | 51–58 | regular |
| 2021-01-31 | 2021 | Valparaiso @ Evansville | 52–70 | regular |
| 2021-01-29 | 2021 | Bradley @ Valparaiso | 85–91 | regular |
| 2021-01-24 | 2021 | Valparaiso @ Illinois State | 70–66 | regular |
| 2021-01-23 | 2021 | Valparaiso @ Illinois State | 69–60 | regular |
| 2021-01-21 | 2021 | Loyola Chicago @ Valparaiso | 75–39 | regular |
| 2021-01-17 | 2021 | Valparaiso @ Southern Illinois | scheduled | regular |
| 2021-01-16 | 2021 | Valparaiso @ DePaul | 58–77 | regular |
| 2021-01-10 | 2021 | Missouri State @ Valparaiso | 78–68 | regular |
| 2021-01-09 | 2021 | Missouri State @ Valparaiso | 81–68 | regular |
| 2021-01-03 | 2021 | Valparaiso @ Illinois State | scheduled | regular |
| 2021-01-02 | 2021 | Valparaiso @ Illinois State | scheduled | regular |
| 2020-12-30 | 2021 | Bradley @ Valparaiso | scheduled | regular |
| 2020-12-29 | 2021 | Bradley @ Valparaiso | scheduled | regular |
| 2020-12-22 | 2021 | Mount St. Joseph @ Valparaiso | canceled | non_d1 |
| 2020-12-19 | 2021 | Valparaiso @ Toledo | 57–71 | regular |
| 2020-12-17 | 2021 | Purdue Northwest @ Valparaiso | 71–89 | non_d1 |
| 2020-12-17 | 2021 | Eastern Michigan @ Valparaiso | canceled | regular |
| 2020-12-12 | 2021 | Valparaiso @ Central Michigan | 79–84 | regular |
| 2020-12-10 | 2021 | SIU Edwardsville @ Valparaiso | 58–80 | regular |
| 2020-12-06 | 2021 | Judson University @ Valparaiso | 45–85 | non_d1 |
| 2020-12-05 | 2021 | Valparaiso @ Purdue | 61–68 | regular |
| 2020-12-02 | 2021 | Valparaiso @ UIC | 50–66 | regular |
| 2020-11-28 | 2021 | Valparaiso @ Vanderbilt | 71–77 | regular |