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Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.89 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.92 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.03 points per possession 0.18
PACE 61.80 possessions per game 4.96

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-02 19:30), with 36 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

UIC AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans -0.44 to 0.43 over 125 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20231917 0.528

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbUIC auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-19 2023 Northern Illinois @ UIC N 56–71 other_postseason
2023-03-18 2023 UIC @ Florida International N 65–68 other_postseason
2023-03-17 2023 UIC @ New Mexico State N 41–51 other_postseason
2023-03-11 2023 UIC @ Northern Iowa N 57–73 conf_tournament
2023-03-10 2023 Valparaiso @ UIC N 47–72 conf_tournament
2023-03-04 2023 Murray State @ UIC 58–65 regular
2023-03-03 2023 Belmont @ UIC 81–56 regular
2023-02-25 2023 UIC @ Bradley 64–38 regular
2023-02-24 2023 UIC @ Illinois State 55–66 regular
2023-02-19 2023 UIC @ Indiana State 56–50 regular
2023-02-18 2023 UIC @ Evansville 65–68 regular
2023-02-12 2023 Drake @ UIC 52–64 regular
2023-02-11 2023 Northern Iowa @ UIC 55–47 regular
2023-02-04 2023 UIC @ Missouri State 57–68 regular
2023-02-02 2023 UIC @ Valparaiso 55–53 regular
2023-01-29 2023 Illinois State @ UIC 55–42 regular
2023-01-28 2023 Bradley @ UIC 38–52 regular
2023-01-21 2023 UIC @ Northern Iowa 44–79 regular
2023-01-20 2023 UIC @ Drake 51–63 regular
2023-01-14 2023 Southern Illinois @ UIC 62–65 regular
2023-01-12 2023 Valparaiso @ UIC 50–51 regular
2023-01-07 2023 Evansville @ UIC 53–57 regular
2023-01-06 2023 Indiana State @ UIC 59–48 regular
2023-01-01 2023 UIC @ Belmont 59–72 regular
2022-12-31 2023 UIC @ Murray State 55–68 regular
2022-12-20 2023 UIC @ Southeast Missouri State 55–56 regular
2022-12-15 2023 Northwestern @ UIC 66–62 regular
2022-12-04 2023 UIC @ Cincinnati 66–58 regular
2022-12-02 2023 Loyola Chicago @ UIC 36–45 regular
2022-11-27 2023 St. Thomas @ UIC 71–75 regular
2022-11-23 2023 Austin Peay @ UIC N 59–62 regular
2022-11-22 2023 UIC @ Davidson N 63–55 regular
2022-11-21 2023 UIC @ Fairleigh Dickinson N 51–63 regular
2022-11-17 2023 Milwaukee @ UIC 43–44 regular
2022-11-14 2023 UIC @ Chicago State 87–62 regular
2022-11-08 2023 UIC @ IU Indianapolis 52–50 regular