Arkansas State Red Wolves
womens
canonical name from espn_wbb
Round of 64 (out) 2025
Ratings · 2025
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 0.93 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 0.91 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | 0.01 | points per possession | 0.19 |
| PACE | 73.75 | possessions per game | 4.61 |
At season 2025's latest cutoff
(2025-04-06 19:00),
with 31 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025.
Axis spans -0.48 to 0.45 over
130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
25).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2025
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 21 | 11 | 0.656 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| espn_wbb | Arkansas State | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-22 | 2025 | Arkansas State @ UConn | 34–103 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2025-03-10 | 2025 | Arkansas State @ James Madison N | 86–79 | conf_tournament |
| 2025-03-09 | 2025 | Troy @ Arkansas State N | 66–81 | conf_tournament |
| 2025-03-01 | 2025 | Arkansas State @ Troy | 89–85 | regular |
| 2025-02-26 | 2025 | Arkansas State @ Southern Miss | 56–55 | regular |
| 2025-02-22 | 2025 | Arkansas State @ Coastal Carolina | 70–86 | regular |
| 2025-02-20 | 2025 | Arkansas State @ Old Dominion | 88–95 | regular |
| 2025-02-15 | 2025 | Texas State @ Arkansas State | 62–72 | regular |
| 2025-02-12 | 2025 | Southern Miss @ Arkansas State | 53–74 | regular |
| 2025-02-08 | 2025 | Bowling Green @ Arkansas State | 75–73 | regular |
| 2025-02-05 | 2025 | Georgia State @ Arkansas State | 50–86 | regular |
| 2025-02-01 | 2025 | South Alabama @ Arkansas State | 63–80 | regular |
| 2025-01-31 | 2025 | Troy @ Arkansas State | 77–91 | regular |
| 2025-01-25 | 2025 | Arkansas State @ South Alabama | 82–71 | regular |
| 2025-01-24 | 2025 | Arkansas State @ Louisiana | 62–49 | regular |
| 2025-01-18 | 2025 | UL Monroe @ Arkansas State | 43–71 | regular |
| 2025-01-16 | 2025 | Louisiana @ Arkansas State | 65–67 | regular |
| 2025-01-11 | 2025 | Arkansas State @ UL Monroe | 75–70 | regular |
| 2025-01-09 | 2025 | Arkansas State @ Texas State | 66–50 | regular |
| 2025-01-04 | 2025 | Georgia Southern @ Arkansas State | 73–76 | regular |
| 2025-01-03 | 2025 | Marshall @ Arkansas State | 56–66 | regular |
| 2024-12-29 | 2025 | Arkansas State @ App State | 62–77 | regular |
| 2024-12-22 | 2025 | Delta State @ Arkansas State | 45–68 | non_d1 |
| 2024-12-20 | 2025 | Tarleton State @ Arkansas State | 78–68 | regular |
| 2024-12-15 | 2025 | Arkansas State @ UT Martin | 71–82 | regular |
| 2024-12-07 | 2025 | Jackson State @ Arkansas State | 65–76 | regular |
| 2024-12-04 | 2025 | Arkansas State @ Little Rock | 49–59 | regular |
| 2024-11-24 | 2025 | Arkansas State @ Arkansas | 60–76 | regular |
| 2024-11-20 | 2025 | Arkansas State @ Xavier | 41–45 | regular |
| 2024-11-14 | 2025 | Mississippi Valley State @ Arkansas State | 54–114 | regular |
| 2024-11-08 | 2025 | Arkansas State @ Arizona State | 100–96 | regular |
| 2024-11-05 | 2025 | Arkansas State @ Western Michigan | 52–61 | regular |