cbb·system

Southern Utah Thunderbirds

mens Big Sky canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.11 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.05 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.06 points per possession 0.18
PACE 71.91 possessions per game 4.11

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-04 01:20), with 33 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Southern Utah AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans -0.33 to 0.58 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20232413 0.649

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdSouthern Utah auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-21 2023 Southern Utah @ Eastern Kentucky N 106–108 other_postseason
2023-03-20 2023 Southern Utah @ Rice N 81–79 other_postseason
2023-03-18 2023 Southern Utah @ North Alabama N 72–50 other_postseason
2023-03-12 2023 Grand Canyon @ Southern Utah N 84–66 conf_tournament
2023-03-11 2023 Southern Utah @ Utah Valley N 89–88 conf_tournament
2023-03-10 2023 Utah Tech @ Southern Utah N 75–76 conf_tournament
2023-03-04 2023 California Baptist @ Southern Utah 71–81 regular
2023-03-02 2023 Grand Canyon @ Southern Utah 83–78 regular
2023-02-25 2023 Southern Utah @ Sam Houston 57–64 regular
2023-02-24 2023 Southern Utah @ UT Arlington 86–76 regular
2023-02-18 2023 Utah Tech @ Southern Utah 71–81 regular
2023-02-12 2023 Southern Utah @ Utah Valley 83–90 regular
2023-02-10 2023 Tarleton State @ Southern Utah 62–72 regular
2023-02-05 2023 Southern Utah @ Utah Tech 79–86 regular
2023-02-02 2023 Southern Utah @ California Baptist 72–71 regular
2023-01-27 2023 Utah Valley @ Southern Utah 67–79 regular
2023-01-21 2023 Southern Utah @ Seattle U 60–81 regular
2023-01-20 2023 New Mexico State @ Southern Utah 76–111 regular
2023-01-14 2023 Stephen F. Austin @ Southern Utah 58–67 regular
2023-01-13 2023 Sam Houston @ Southern Utah 74–86 regular
2023-01-08 2023 Southern Utah @ Abilene Christian 74–72 regular
2023-01-06 2023 Southern Utah @ Tarleton State 65–68 regular
2022-12-31 2023 UT Rio Grande Valley @ Southern Utah 88–94 regular
2022-12-29 2023 Southern Utah @ New Mexico State 79–75 regular
2022-12-22 2023 Southern Utah @ Colorado 78–86 regular
2022-12-17 2023 Northern Arizona @ Southern Utah 101–106 regular
2022-12-11 2023 Southern Utah @ Cal State Fullerton N 67–60 regular
2022-12-07 2023 West Coast Baptist @ Southern Utah 49–120 non_d1
2022-12-04 2023 Southern Utah @ Idaho State 69–59 regular
2022-12-01 2023 Montana State @ Southern Utah 86–83 regular
2022-11-27 2023 Southern Utah @ Sacramento State N 91–87 regular
2022-11-26 2023 Texas State @ Southern Utah N 78–65 regular
2022-11-19 2023 Southern Utah @ Kansas 76–82 regular
2022-11-15 2023 Bethesda University @ Southern Utah 67–126 non_d1
2022-11-13 2023 University of Saint Katherine @ Southern Utah 48–91 non_d1
2022-11-11 2023 La Verne @ Southern Utah 55–117 non_d1
2022-11-08 2023 Southern Utah @ New Mexico 81–89 regular