Michigan Wolverines
mens
Big Ten
canonical name from espn_mbb
#1 Elite 8 (out) 2021
Ratings · 2021
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.19 | points per possession | 0.12 |
| DE | 0.90 | points per possession | 0.14 |
| ME | 0.29 | points per possession | 0.19 |
| PACE | 66.81 | possessions per game | 4.62 |
At season 2021's latest cutoff
(2021-04-04 00:47),
with 32 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2021.
Axis spans -0.19 to 0.74 over
110 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2021
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | 5 | 0.821 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Michigan | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-03-31 | 2021 | UCLA @ Michigan N | 51–49 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2021-03-28 | 2021 | Florida State @ Michigan N | 58–76 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2021-03-22 | 2021 | LSU @ Michigan N | 78–86 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2021-03-20 | 2021 | Texas Southern @ Michigan N | 66–82 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2021-03-13 | 2021 | Ohio State @ Michigan N | 68–67 | conf_tournament |
| 2021-03-12 | 2021 | Maryland @ Michigan N | 66–79 | conf_tournament |
| 2021-03-07 | 2021 | Michigan @ Michigan State | 64–70 | regular |
| 2021-03-05 | 2021 | Michigan State @ Michigan | 50–69 | regular |
| 2021-03-03 | 2021 | Illinois @ Michigan | 76–53 | regular |
| 2021-02-27 | 2021 | Michigan @ Indiana | 73–57 | regular |
| 2021-02-26 | 2021 | Iowa @ Michigan | 57–79 | regular |
| 2021-02-21 | 2021 | Michigan @ Ohio State | 92–87 | regular |
| 2021-02-19 | 2021 | Rutgers @ Michigan | 64–71 | regular |
| 2021-02-14 | 2021 | Michigan @ Wisconsin | 67–59 | regular |
| 2021-02-12 | 2021 | Illinois @ Michigan | scheduled | regular |
| 2021-02-04 | 2021 | Michigan @ Northwestern | canceled | regular |
| 2021-01-30 | 2021 | Indiana @ Michigan | canceled | regular |
| 2021-01-23 | 2021 | Michigan @ Purdue | 70–53 | regular |
| 2021-01-20 | 2021 | Maryland @ Michigan | 63–87 | regular |
| 2021-01-16 | 2021 | Michigan @ Minnesota | 57–75 | regular |
| 2021-01-13 | 2021 | Wisconsin @ Michigan | 54–77 | regular |
| 2021-01-09 | 2021 | Michigan @ Penn State | canceled | regular |
| 2021-01-07 | 2021 | Minnesota @ Michigan | 57–82 | regular |
| 2021-01-04 | 2021 | Northwestern @ Michigan | 66–85 | regular |
| 2021-01-01 | 2021 | Michigan @ Maryland | 84–73 | regular |
| 2020-12-25 | 2021 | Michigan @ Nebraska | 80–69 | regular |
| 2020-12-13 | 2021 | Penn State @ Michigan | 58–62 | regular |
| 2020-12-09 | 2021 | Toledo @ Michigan | 71–91 | regular |
| 2020-12-06 | 2021 | UCF @ Michigan | 58–80 | regular |
| 2020-12-03 | 2021 | Ball State @ Michigan | 65–84 | regular |
| 2020-11-29 | 2021 | Oakland @ Michigan | 71–81 | regular |
| 2020-11-25 | 2021 | Bowling Green @ Michigan | 82–96 | regular |