cbb·system

Michigan Wolverines

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2020

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.15 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.81 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.34 points per possession 0.18
PACE 67.13 possessions per game 4.66

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-12 18:00), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Michigan AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020. Axis spans -0.13 to 0.70 over 107 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

SeasonWLPct
20202111 0.656

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbMichigan auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2020-03-08 2020 Michigan @ Ohio State N 60–66 conf_tournament
2020-03-06 2020 Michigan @ Northwestern N 67–59 conf_tournament
2020-03-05 2020 Nebraska @ Michigan N 75–81 conf_tournament
2020-03-01 2020 Indiana @ Michigan 78–60 regular
2020-02-28 2020 Michigan @ Penn State 80–66 regular
2020-02-23 2020 Michigan @ Michigan State 65–57 regular
2020-02-20 2020 Illinois @ Michigan 59–80 regular
2020-02-16 2020 Michigan @ Rutgers 41–62 regular
2020-02-14 2020 Northwestern @ Michigan 66–60 regular
2020-02-11 2020 Michigan @ Minnesota 77–52 regular
2020-02-06 2020 Purdue @ Michigan 63–66 regular
2020-02-02 2020 Iowa @ Michigan 63–78 regular
2020-01-31 2020 Michigan @ Northwestern 73–81 regular
2020-01-26 2020 Rutgers @ Michigan 57–71 regular
2020-01-19 2020 Michigan @ Nebraska 71–74 regular
2020-01-17 2020 Michigan @ Wisconsin 68–56 regular
2020-01-12 2020 Maryland @ Michigan 77–49 regular
2020-01-09 2020 Michigan @ Ohio State 69–78 regular
2020-01-05 2020 Michigan State @ Michigan 69–89 regular
2019-12-31 2020 Penn State @ Michigan 48–82 regular
2019-12-29 2020 Michigan @ Maryland 55–70 regular
2019-12-22 2020 Michigan @ Florida State N 69–79 regular
2019-12-14 2020 App State @ Michigan 35–62 regular
2019-12-08 2020 Oakland @ Michigan 64–79 regular
2019-12-06 2020 Syracuse @ Michigan 76–84 regular
2019-12-01 2020 Morgan State @ Michigan 48–80 regular
2019-11-27 2020 Michigan @ Eastern Michigan 57–38 regular
2019-11-23 2020 Notre Dame @ Michigan 76–72 regular
2019-11-16 2020 Michigan @ Akron 80–71 regular
2019-11-15 2020 Michigan @ Kent State N 88–53 regular
2019-11-10 2020 Bradley @ Michigan 57–77 regular
2019-11-09 2020 Western Michigan @ Michigan 55–76 regular