cbb·system

Baylor Bears

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Round of 32 (out) 2023

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.10 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.77 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.33 points per possession 0.18
PACE 70.66 possessions per game 4.47

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-02 19:30), with 33 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Baylor AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans -0.09 to 0.77 over 125 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20232013 0.606

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbBaylor auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-21 2023 Baylor @ UConn 58–77 ncaa_tournament
2023-03-18 2023 Alabama @ Baylor N 74–78 ncaa_tournament
2023-03-11 2023 Baylor @ Iowa State N 63–74 conf_tournament
2023-03-04 2023 West Virginia @ Baylor 63–52 regular
2023-02-28 2023 Baylor @ Texas 63–54 regular
2023-02-25 2023 Texas Tech @ Baylor 61–71 regular
2023-02-23 2023 Baylor @ TCU 67–57 regular
2023-02-18 2023 Iowa State @ Baylor 81–77 regular
2023-02-16 2023 Baylor @ Kansas State 68–87 regular
2023-02-11 2023 Baylor @ Oklahoma State 56–77 regular
2023-02-08 2023 Oklahoma @ Baylor 98–92 regular
2023-02-04 2023 Baylor @ Iowa State 76–70 regular
2023-02-02 2023 Kansas @ Baylor 73–77 regular
2023-01-28 2023 Baylor @ Texas Tech 79–59 regular
2023-01-22 2023 Texas @ Baylor 68–55 regular
2023-01-19 2023 Kansas State @ Baylor 48–69 regular
2023-01-15 2023 Baylor @ West Virginia 65–74 regular
2023-01-12 2023 Oklahoma State @ Baylor 70–65 regular
2023-01-07 2023 Baylor @ Kansas 75–62 regular
2023-01-04 2023 Baylor @ Oklahoma 81–70 regular
2022-12-31 2023 TCU @ Baylor 42–64 regular
2022-12-21 2023 Long Beach State @ Baylor 52–73 regular
2022-12-19 2023 Arizona @ Baylor N 75–54 regular
2022-12-15 2023 Tennessee State @ Baylor 27–93 regular
2022-12-08 2023 UT Arlington @ Baylor 36–91 regular
2022-12-04 2023 Houston Christian @ Baylor 35–79 regular
2022-11-28 2023 Michigan @ Baylor N 84–75 regular
2022-11-26 2023 Villanova @ Baylor N 70–75 regular
2022-11-25 2023 Saint Louis @ Baylor N 58–92 regular
2022-11-20 2023 Maryland @ Baylor 73–68 regular
2022-11-16 2023 SMU @ Baylor 55–58 regular
2022-11-11 2023 Incarnate Word @ Baylor 42–71 regular
2022-11-08 2023 Lamar @ Baylor 50–88 regular