Central Arkansas Bears
mens
Southland
canonical name from espn_mbb
Ratings · 2021
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 0.98 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 1.15 | points per possession | 0.12 |
| ME | -0.17 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 69.91 | possessions per game | 4.50 |
At season 2021's latest cutoff
(2021-04-04 00:47),
with 28 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2021.
Axis spans -0.55 to 0.37 over
110 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2021
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 5 | 19 | 0.208 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Central Arkansas | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-03-06 | 2021 | Central Arkansas @ Northwestern State | 70–79 | regular |
| 2021-03-04 | 2021 | SE Louisiana @ Central Arkansas | 71–88 | regular |
| 2021-03-01 | 2021 | Stephen F. Austin @ Central Arkansas | 79–66 | regular |
| 2021-02-27 | 2021 | Abilene Christian @ Central Arkansas | 82–84 | regular |
| 2021-02-23 | 2021 | Central Arkansas @ New Orleans | 63–88 | regular |
| 2021-02-20 | 2021 | Central Arkansas @ Nicholls | 68–79 | regular |
| 2021-02-13 | 2021 | Central Arkansas @ Sam Houston | 57–97 | regular |
| 2021-02-11 | 2021 | Central Arkansas @ New Orleans | scheduled | regular |
| 2021-02-06 | 2021 | McNeese @ Central Arkansas | 80–70 | regular |
| 2021-01-30 | 2021 | Northwestern State @ Central Arkansas | 81–77 | regular |
| 2021-01-28 | 2021 | Central Arkansas @ SE Louisiana | 57–69 | regular |
| 2021-01-23 | 2021 | Central Arkansas @ Abilene Christian | 58–93 | regular |
| 2021-01-16 | 2021 | Nicholls @ Central Arkansas | 74–72 | regular |
| 2021-01-14 | 2021 | Central Arkansas @ Stephen F. Austin | 69–95 | regular |
| 2021-01-09 | 2021 | Sam Houston @ Central Arkansas | 91–80 | regular |
| 2021-01-07 | 2021 | New Orleans @ Central Arkansas | 79–83 | regular |
| 2021-01-02 | 2021 | Central Arkansas @ McNeese | 81–67 | regular |
| 2020-12-29 | 2021 | Central Arkansas @ Baylor | 56–93 | regular |
| 2020-12-19 | 2021 | Champion Christian @ Central Arkansas | 28–92 | non_d1 |
| 2020-12-17 | 2021 | Central Arkansas @ Mississippi State | 65–81 | regular |
| 2020-12-15 | 2021 | Central Arkansas @ Ole Miss | 54–68 | regular |
| 2020-12-13 | 2021 | Central Arkansas @ Arkansas | 75–100 | regular |
| 2020-12-09 | 2021 | Central Arkansas @ Saint Louis | 65–88 | regular |
| 2020-12-06 | 2021 | Central Arkansas @ Little Rock | 83–86 | regular |
| 2020-12-05 | 2021 | Central Arkansas @ Memphis | 68–85 | regular |
| 2020-12-02 | 2021 | Central Arkansas @ Missouri State | canceled | regular |
| 2020-11-27 | 2021 | Jackson State @ Central Arkansas N | canceled | regular |
| 2020-11-26 | 2021 | Arkansas State @ Central Arkansas N | canceled | regular |
| 2020-11-25 | 2021 | Central Arkansas @ Ole Miss | canceled | regular |