cbb·system

Mississippi State Bulldogs

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2020

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.17 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.74 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.43 points per possession 0.18
PACE 71.34 possessions per game 4.42

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-12 18:00), with 33 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Mississippi State AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020. Axis spans 0.01 to 0.91 over 107 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

SeasonWLPct
2020276 0.818

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbMississippi State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2020-03-08 2020 Mississippi State @ South Carolina N 62–76 conf_tournament
2020-03-08 2020 Kentucky @ Mississippi State N 59–77 conf_tournament
2020-03-06 2020 LSU @ Mississippi State N 49–79 conf_tournament
2020-03-01 2020 Mississippi State @ Ole Miss 84–59 regular
2020-02-28 2020 Arkansas @ Mississippi State 83–92 regular
2020-02-23 2020 Alabama @ Mississippi State 66–64 regular
2020-02-21 2020 Mississippi State @ Auburn 92–85 regular
2020-02-16 2020 Mississippi State @ Kentucky 62–73 regular
2020-02-09 2020 Texas A&M @ Mississippi State 57–69 regular
2020-02-06 2020 Mississippi State @ Tennessee 72–55 regular
2020-02-04 2020 Georgia @ Mississippi State 53–67 regular
2020-01-31 2020 Auburn @ Mississippi State 73–78 regular
2020-01-26 2020 Ole Miss @ Mississippi State 39–80 regular
2020-01-24 2020 Mississippi State @ Vanderbilt 68–52 regular
2020-01-21 2020 Mississippi State @ South Carolina 79–81 regular
2020-01-17 2020 LSU @ Mississippi State 60–64 regular
2020-01-10 2020 Mississippi State @ Missouri 79–64 regular
2020-01-05 2020 Mississippi State @ Georgia 73–66 regular
2020-01-03 2020 Florida @ Mississippi State 47–93 regular
2019-12-29 2020 Little Rock @ Mississippi State 50–89 regular
2019-12-21 2020 Mississippi State @ Virginia N 72–59 regular
2019-12-20 2020 South Florida @ Mississippi State N 61–86 regular
2019-12-16 2020 Mississippi State @ Louisiana 64–48 regular
2019-12-08 2020 West Virginia @ Mississippi State 71–65 regular
2019-12-01 2020 Stanford @ Mississippi State N 67–62 regular
2019-11-30 2020 Mississippi State @ Green Bay N 83–58 regular
2019-11-28 2020 San Francisco @ Mississippi State N 38–73 regular
2019-11-26 2020 Mississippi State @ Marquette 74–68 regular
2019-11-22 2020 Mississippi State @ Jackson State 92–53 regular
2019-11-19 2020 Troy @ Mississippi State 82–122 regular
2019-11-16 2020 Murray State @ Mississippi State 43–124 regular
2019-11-12 2020 UT Martin @ Mississippi State 46–82 regular
2019-11-09 2020 Southern Miss @ Mississippi State 58–91 regular