cbb·system

Mississippi State Bulldogs

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2024

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.12 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.86 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.26 points per possession 0.18
PACE 68.60 possessions per game 4.60

At season 2024's latest cutoff (2024-04-07 19:00), with 35 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Mississippi State AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2024. Axis spans -0.17 to 0.88 over 131 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2024

SeasonWLPct
20242312 0.657

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbMississippi State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2024-03-28 2024 Mississippi State @ Penn State 87–92 other_postseason
2024-03-24 2024 TCU @ Mississippi State 61–68 other_postseason
2024-03-21 2024 Georgia Tech @ Mississippi State 47–84 other_postseason
2024-03-07 2024 Texas A&M @ Mississippi State N 72–56 conf_tournament
2024-03-03 2024 Missouri @ Mississippi State 75–90 regular
2024-03-01 2024 Mississippi State @ Auburn 60–77 regular
2024-02-25 2024 Mississippi State @ Alabama 75–87 regular
2024-02-23 2024 Kentucky @ Mississippi State 78–68 regular
2024-02-18 2024 Mississippi State @ Ole Miss 71–75 regular
2024-02-11 2024 Florida @ Mississippi State 90–70 regular
2024-02-09 2024 Georgia @ Mississippi State 57–76 regular
2024-02-04 2024 Mississippi State @ Texas A&M 74–63 regular
2024-02-02 2024 Mississippi State @ Kentucky 77–74 regular
2024-01-30 2024 LSU @ Mississippi State 73–77 regular
2024-01-23 2024 Mississippi State @ Florida 89–77 regular
2024-01-18 2024 Tennessee @ Mississippi State 75–64 regular
2024-01-14 2024 Ole Miss @ Mississippi State 57–69 regular
2024-01-12 2024 Mississippi State @ Arkansas 66–63 regular
2024-01-07 2024 Mississippi State @ South Carolina 66–85 regular
2024-01-05 2024 Vanderbilt @ Mississippi State 71–66 regular
2023-12-30 2024 Mississippi Valley State @ Mississippi State 35–99 regular
2023-12-21 2024 Mississippi State @ Colorado State 82–75 regular
2023-12-17 2024 Mississippi State @ Memphis 81–63 regular
2023-12-15 2024 Jackson State @ Mississippi State 72–82 regular
2023-12-12 2024 Kennesaw State @ Mississippi State 50–91 regular
2023-12-03 2024 Mississippi State @ Chattanooga 53–59 regular
2023-11-30 2024 Miami @ Mississippi State 74–68 regular
2023-11-26 2024 Tulsa @ Mississippi State N 58–102 regular
2023-11-25 2024 Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Mississippi State N 68–77 regular
2023-11-25 2024 Mississippi State @ Clemson N 81–78 regular
2023-11-19 2024 Mississippi State @ Belmont 63–62 regular
2023-11-15 2024 LSU New Orleans @ Mississippi State 26–87 regular
2023-11-12 2024 Jacksonville State @ Mississippi State 45–84 regular
2023-11-11 2024 SE Louisiana @ Mississippi State 46–67 regular
2023-11-07 2024 Alcorn State @ Mississippi State 42–77 regular