cbb·system

Mississippi State Bulldogs

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Round of 32 (out) 2025

Ratings · 2025

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.10 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.80 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.30 points per possession 0.19
PACE 70.58 possessions per game 4.73

At season 2025's latest cutoff (2025-04-06 19:00), with 34 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Mississippi State AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025. Axis spans -0.08 to 0.78 over 130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2025

SeasonWLPct
20252212 0.647

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbMississippi State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2025-03-25 2025 Mississippi State @ USC 59–96 ncaa_tournament
2025-03-22 2025 Mississippi State @ California N 59–46 ncaa_tournament
2025-03-06 2025 Mississippi State @ Ole Miss N 73–85 conf_tournament
2025-03-05 2025 Missouri @ Mississippi State N 55–75 conf_tournament
2025-03-02 2025 Mississippi State @ Auburn 73–66 regular
2025-02-28 2025 Texas @ Mississippi State 68–64 regular
2025-02-23 2025 Texas A&M @ Mississippi State 55–81 regular
2025-02-16 2025 Mississippi State @ Florida 66–69 regular
2025-02-14 2025 Mississippi State @ Vanderbilt 85–77 regular
2025-02-09 2025 Alabama @ Mississippi State 80–60 regular
2025-02-07 2025 Arkansas @ Mississippi State 55–78 regular
2025-02-02 2025 Mississippi State @ LSU 67–81 regular
2025-01-28 2025 Mississippi State @ Missouri 77–78 regular
2025-01-24 2025 Auburn @ Mississippi State 56–96 regular
2025-01-19 2025 Ole Miss @ Mississippi State 71–63 regular
2025-01-17 2025 Mississippi State @ Tennessee 73–86 regular
2025-01-12 2025 Mississippi State @ Georgia 79–68 regular
2025-01-10 2025 Oklahoma @ Mississippi State 77–81 regular
2025-01-05 2025 South Carolina @ Mississippi State 95–68 regular
2025-01-03 2025 Mississippi State @ Kentucky 69–91 regular
2024-12-29 2025 South Carolina State @ Mississippi State 47–95 regular
2024-12-20 2025 Mississippi State @ Maryland Eastern Shore 70–52 regular
2024-12-17 2025 Mississippi State @ UL Monroe 78–70 regular
2024-12-14 2025 Belmont @ Mississippi State N 70–73 regular
2024-12-08 2025 Mississippi State @ Chicago State 102–42 regular
2024-12-05 2025 Mississippi State @ Georgia Tech 75–78 regular
2024-11-30 2025 South Florida @ Mississippi State N 52–59 regular
2024-11-29 2025 Mississippi State @ Utah N 66–62 regular
2024-11-24 2025 Mississippi State @ Jacksonville N 80–35 regular
2024-11-21 2025 Mercer @ Mississippi State 44–81 regular
2024-11-17 2025 Chattanooga @ Mississippi State 44–69 regular
2024-11-13 2025 Alabama State @ Mississippi State 29–83 regular
2024-11-10 2025 Alcorn State @ Mississippi State 45–73 regular
2024-11-08 2025 Memphis @ Mississippi State 56–100 regular