Illinois Fighting Illini
mens
Big Ten
canonical name from espn_mbb
#6 Round of 32 (out) 2025
Ratings · 2025
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.24 | points per possession | 0.12 |
| DE | 0.98 | points per possession | 0.14 |
| ME | 0.27 | points per possession | 0.19 |
| PACE | 70.67 | possessions per game | 4.26 |
At season 2025's latest cutoff
(2025-04-08 00:50),
with 35 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025.
Axis spans -0.12 to 0.74 over
135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2025
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22 | 13 | 0.629 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Illinois | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-23 | 2025 | Illinois @ Kentucky N | 75–84 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2025-03-22 | 2025 | Xavier @ Illinois N | 73–86 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2025-03-14 | 2025 | Illinois @ Maryland N | 65–88 | conf_tournament |
| 2025-03-13 | 2025 | Iowa @ Illinois N | 94–106 | conf_tournament |
| 2025-03-08 | 2025 | Purdue @ Illinois | 80–88 | regular |
| 2025-03-02 | 2025 | Illinois @ Michigan | 93–73 | regular |
| 2025-02-26 | 2025 | Iowa @ Illinois | 61–81 | regular |
| 2025-02-23 | 2025 | Duke @ Illinois N | 110–67 | regular |
| 2025-02-19 | 2025 | Illinois @ Wisconsin | 74–95 | regular |
| 2025-02-16 | 2025 | Michigan State @ Illinois | 79–65 | regular |
| 2025-02-12 | 2025 | UCLA @ Illinois | 78–83 | regular |
| 2025-02-08 | 2025 | Illinois @ Minnesota | 95–74 | regular |
| 2025-02-06 | 2025 | Illinois @ Rutgers | 73–82 | regular |
| 2025-02-02 | 2025 | Ohio State @ Illinois | 79–87 | regular |
| 2025-01-31 | 2025 | Illinois @ Nebraska | 74–80 | regular |
| 2025-01-26 | 2025 | Northwestern @ Illinois | 74–83 | regular |
| 2025-01-24 | 2025 | Maryland @ Illinois | 91–70 | regular |
| 2025-01-19 | 2025 | Illinois @ Michigan State | 78–80 | regular |
| 2025-01-15 | 2025 | Illinois @ Indiana | 94–69 | regular |
| 2025-01-11 | 2025 | USC @ Illinois | 82–72 | regular |
| 2025-01-09 | 2025 | Penn State @ Illinois | 52–91 | regular |
| 2025-01-05 | 2025 | Illinois @ Washington | 81–77 | regular |
| 2025-01-03 | 2025 | Illinois @ Oregon | 109–77 | regular |
| 2024-12-29 | 2025 | Chicago State @ Illinois | 64–117 | regular |
| 2024-12-22 | 2025 | Illinois @ Missouri N | 80–77 | regular |
| 2024-12-14 | 2025 | Tennessee @ Illinois | 66–64 | regular |
| 2024-12-11 | 2025 | Wisconsin @ Illinois | 80–86 | regular |
| 2024-12-07 | 2025 | Illinois @ Northwestern | 66–70 | regular |
| 2024-11-28 | 2025 | Illinois @ Arkansas N | 90–77 | regular |
| 2024-11-26 | 2025 | Little Rock @ Illinois | 34–92 | regular |
| 2024-11-23 | 2025 | Maryland Eastern Shore @ Illinois | 40–87 | regular |
| 2024-11-21 | 2025 | Illinois @ Alabama N | 87–100 | regular |
| 2024-11-14 | 2025 | Oakland @ Illinois | 54–66 | regular |
| 2024-11-09 | 2025 | SIU Edwardsville @ Illinois | 58–90 | regular |
| 2024-11-05 | 2025 | Eastern Illinois @ Illinois | 67–112 | regular |