cbb·system

UNC Wilmington Seahawks

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2015

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.65 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.07 points per possession 0.11
ME -0.42 points per possession 0.17
PACE 68.44 possessions per game 4.55

At season 2015's latest cutoff (2015-03-10 01:00), with 28 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

UNC Wilmington AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2015. Axis spans -0.76 to -0.00 over 19 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2015

SeasonWLPct
20151416 0.467

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbUNC Wilmington auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2015-03-13 2015 UNC Wilmington @ Elon N 48–60 conf_tournament
2015-03-05 2015 Hofstra @ UNC Wilmington 75–76 regular
2015-03-01 2015 UNC Wilmington @ Charleston 76–65 regular
2015-02-27 2015 Delaware @ UNC Wilmington 68–71 regular
2015-02-22 2015 UNC Wilmington @ Towson 73–71 regular
2015-02-20 2015 James Madison @ UNC Wilmington 85–49 regular
2015-02-15 2015 Northeastern @ UNC Wilmington 78–84 regular
2015-02-13 2015 UNC Wilmington @ Elon 86–82 regular
2015-02-08 2015 UNC Wilmington @ Delaware 60–69 regular
2015-02-01 2015 Drexel @ UNC Wilmington 61–44 regular
2015-01-30 2015 UNC Wilmington @ William & Mary 62–67 regular
2015-01-25 2015 Towson @ UNC Wilmington 63–71 regular
2015-01-23 2015 Elon @ UNC Wilmington 68–76 regular
2015-01-18 2015 UNC Wilmington @ Hofstra 57–71 regular
2015-01-17 2015 UNC Wilmington @ Northeastern 64–73 regular
2015-01-11 2015 UNC Wilmington @ Drexel 53–58 regular
2015-01-09 2015 Charleston @ UNC Wilmington 57–69 regular
2015-01-07 2015 UNC Wilmington @ James Madison 57–74 regular
2015-01-04 2015 William & Mary @ UNC Wilmington 62–63 regular
2014-12-31 2015 UNC Wilmington @ Stetson 55–72 regular
2014-12-30 2015 UNC Wilmington @ Florida Atlantic 80–84 regular
2014-12-20 2015 Charleston Southern @ UNC Wilmington 70–80 regular
2014-12-19 2015 East Tennessee State @ UNC Wilmington 48–61 regular
2014-12-17 2015 Richmond @ UNC Wilmington 77–67 regular
2014-12-03 2015 VCU @ UNC Wilmington 59–53 regular
2014-11-29 2015 Western Carolina @ UNC Wilmington 64–53 regular
2014-11-28 2015 North Florida @ UNC Wilmington 55–41 regular
2014-11-22 2015 UNC Wilmington @ App State 72–82 regular
2014-11-20 2015 Campbell @ UNC Wilmington 80–89 regular
2014-11-16 2015 UNC Pembroke @ UNC Wilmington 38–75 non_d1