cbb·system

Illinois Fighting Illini

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2020

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.92 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.95 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.02 points per possession 0.19
PACE 69.42 possessions per game 4.55

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-12 18:00), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up show · hidden

Illinois AdjME across walk-forward cutoffs
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020. Axis spans -0.41 to 0.42 over 54 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The warm-up stretch is hidden — the toggle above brings it back. This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

SeasonWLPct
20201119 0.367

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbIllinois auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2020-03-04 2020 Illinois @ Wisconsin N 55–71 conf_tournament
2020-02-29 2020 Illinois @ Northwestern 58–75 regular
2020-02-27 2020 Michigan State @ Illinois 72–58 regular
2020-02-22 2020 Illinois @ Nebraska 58–80 regular
2020-02-20 2020 Illinois @ Michigan 59–80 regular
2020-02-16 2020 Purdue @ Illinois 70–58 regular
2020-02-14 2020 Indiana @ Illinois 59–54 regular
2020-02-09 2020 Illinois @ Penn State 70–66 regular
2020-02-07 2020 Ohio State @ Illinois 78–58 regular
2020-02-02 2020 Wisconsin @ Illinois 73–64 regular
2020-01-31 2020 Illinois @ Rutgers 41–72 regular
2020-01-24 2020 Maryland @ Illinois 79–60 regular
2020-01-19 2020 Illinois @ Ohio State 47–77 regular
2020-01-17 2020 Illinois @ Purdue 67–81 regular
2020-01-12 2020 Minnesota @ Illinois 71–74 regular
2020-01-10 2020 Rutgers @ Illinois 75–51 regular
2020-01-07 2020 Illinois @ Indiana 42–83 regular
2019-12-31 2020 Illinois @ Iowa 72–108 regular
2019-12-28 2020 Northwestern @ Illinois 77–50 regular
2019-12-20 2020 Illinois @ Missouri 58–51 regular
2019-12-15 2020 Evansville @ Illinois 44–59 regular
2019-12-11 2020 Merrimack @ Illinois 72–75 regular
2019-12-05 2020 Illinois @ North Carolina 60–85 regular
2019-12-01 2020 Presbyterian @ Illinois 52–71 regular
2019-11-24 2020 Bryant @ Illinois 55–69 regular
2019-11-22 2020 Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Illinois 50–65 regular
2019-11-16 2020 Illinois State @ Illinois 74–58 regular
2019-11-14 2020 Austin Peay @ Illinois 62–76 regular
2019-11-09 2020 Holy Cross @ Illinois 75–78 regular
2019-11-05 2020 Chicago State @ Illinois 66–96 regular