Illinois Fighting Illini
womens
canonical name from espn_wbb
Round of 32 (out) 2025
Ratings · 2025
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.11 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 0.79 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | 0.31 | points per possession | 0.19 |
| PACE | 65.94 | possessions per game | 4.87 |
At season 2025's latest cutoff
(2025-04-06 19:00),
with 32 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025.
Axis spans -0.11 to 0.86 over
130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
25).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2025
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22 | 10 | 0.688 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| espn_wbb | Illinois | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-24 | 2025 | Illinois @ Texas | 48–65 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2025-03-22 | 2025 | Creighton @ Illinois N | 57–66 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2025-03-06 | 2025 | Nebraska @ Illinois N | 74–70 | conf_tournament |
| 2025-03-02 | 2025 | Michigan @ Illinois | 78–69 | regular |
| 2025-02-23 | 2025 | Illinois @ USC | 66–76 | regular |
| 2025-02-21 | 2025 | Illinois @ UCLA | 55–70 | regular |
| 2025-02-16 | 2025 | Nebraska @ Illinois | 68–77 | regular |
| 2025-02-14 | 2025 | Penn State @ Illinois | 55–67 | regular |
| 2025-02-09 | 2025 | Illinois @ Wisconsin | 74–51 | regular |
| 2025-02-07 | 2025 | Northwestern @ Illinois | 60–73 | regular |
| 2025-02-02 | 2025 | Illinois @ Maryland | 66–65 | regular |
| 2025-01-31 | 2025 | Illinois @ Rutgers | 69–65 | regular |
| 2025-01-28 | 2025 | Purdue @ Illinois | 38–74 | regular |
| 2025-01-24 | 2025 | Illinois @ Northwestern | 85–60 | regular |
| 2025-01-19 | 2025 | Michigan State @ Illinois | 86–68 | regular |
| 2025-01-17 | 2025 | Illinois @ Indiana | 68–54 | regular |
| 2025-01-10 | 2025 | Iowa @ Illinois | 57–62 | regular |
| 2025-01-05 | 2025 | Illinois @ Minnesota | 61–68 | regular |
| 2024-12-31 | 2025 | Washington @ Illinois | 84–75 | regular |
| 2024-12-28 | 2025 | Oregon @ Illinois | 59–64 | regular |
| 2024-12-20 | 2025 | Southern @ Illinois | 57–69 | regular |
| 2024-12-15 | 2025 | Southern Indiana @ Illinois | 50–73 | regular |
| 2024-12-13 | 2025 | Bradley @ Illinois | 52–70 | regular |
| 2024-12-08 | 2025 | Illinois @ Ohio State | 74–83 | regular |
| 2024-12-02 | 2025 | Illinois @ Canisius | 68–55 | regular |
| 2024-11-28 | 2025 | Kentucky @ Illinois N | 76–53 | regular |
| 2024-11-26 | 2025 | Illinois @ Maryland Eastern Shore N | 75–55 | regular |
| 2024-11-23 | 2025 | Oregon State @ Illinois | 66–85 | regular |
| 2024-11-18 | 2025 | Le Moyne @ Illinois | 25–94 | regular |
| 2024-11-15 | 2025 | Eastern Illinois @ Illinois | 37–84 | regular |
| 2024-11-11 | 2025 | Marquette @ Illinois | 53–65 | regular |
| 2024-11-08 | 2025 | Florida State @ Illinois | 74–83 | regular |