cbb·system

Illinois Fighting Illini

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2024

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.13 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.84 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.29 points per possession 0.18
PACE 67.63 possessions per game 4.63

At season 2024's latest cutoff (2024-04-07 19:00), with 34 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Illinois AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2024. Axis spans -0.22 to 0.75 over 131 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2024

SeasonWLPct
20241915 0.559

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbIllinois auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2024-04-03 2024 Illinois @ Villanova N 71–57 other_postseason
2024-04-01 2024 Illinois @ Washington State N 81–58 other_postseason
2024-03-28 2024 Illinois @ Tulsa 69–61 other_postseason
2024-03-24 2024 Stony Brook @ Illinois 62–79 other_postseason
2024-03-21 2024 Missouri State @ Illinois 69–74 other_postseason
2024-03-07 2024 Illinois @ Maryland N 65–75 conf_tournament
2024-03-03 2024 Nebraska @ Illinois 73–74 regular
2024-03-01 2024 Illinois @ Michigan State 70–87 regular
2024-02-25 2024 Illinois @ Iowa 85–101 regular
2024-02-19 2024 Indiana @ Illinois 66–86 regular
2024-02-15 2024 Illinois @ Penn State 86–71 regular
2024-02-11 2024 Maryland @ Illinois 69–53 regular
2024-02-09 2024 Northwestern @ Illinois 71–82 regular
2024-02-06 2024 Illinois @ Purdue 72–77 regular
2024-02-01 2024 Illinois @ Michigan 77–64 regular
2024-01-28 2024 Minnesota @ Illinois 68–73 regular
2024-01-26 2024 Ohio State @ Illinois 67–59 regular
2024-01-20 2024 Illinois @ Maryland 82–90 regular
2024-01-18 2024 Rutgers @ Illinois 68–96 regular
2024-01-14 2024 Illinois @ Northwestern 93–52 regular
2024-01-12 2024 Illinois @ Nebraska 48–56 regular
2024-01-07 2024 Wisconsin @ Illinois 67–61 regular
2023-12-31 2024 Illinois @ Indiana 71–77 regular
2023-12-21 2024 UTEP @ Illinois N 71–81 regular
2023-12-20 2024 Arkansas @ Illinois N 60–59 regular
2023-12-17 2024 Missouri @ Illinois 69–66 regular
2023-12-10 2024 Michigan @ Illinois 84–48 regular
2023-12-07 2024 Northern Kentucky @ Illinois 52–74 regular
2023-11-30 2024 Central Connecticut @ Illinois 50–89 regular
2023-11-26 2024 Canisius @ Illinois 58–90 regular
2023-11-18 2024 Illinois @ Notre Dame N 68–79 regular
2023-11-15 2024 Saint Peter's @ Illinois 33–103 regular
2023-11-11 2024 Illinois @ Marquette 67–71 regular
2023-11-08 2024 Morehead State @ Illinois 61–81 regular