cbb·system

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Round of 64 (out) 2014

Ratings · 2014

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.04 points per possession 0.11
DE 0.82 points per possession 0.12
ME 0.21 points per possession 0.17
PACE 63.57 possessions per game 5.15

At season 2014's latest cutoff (2014-04-09 00:30), with 35 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Middle Tennessee AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2014. Axis spans -0.12 to 0.61 over 114 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2014

SeasonWLPct
2014295 0.853

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbMiddle Tennessee auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2014-03-24 2014 Oregon State @ Middle Tennessee N 55–36 ncaa_tournament
2014-03-16 2014 Southern Miss @ Middle Tennessee N 55–84 conf_tournament
2014-03-14 2014 Florida International @ Middle Tennessee N 57–64 conf_tournament
2014-03-13 2014 UAB @ Middle Tennessee N 59–69 conf_tournament
2014-03-06 2014 Middle Tennessee @ Tulane 64–52 regular
2014-03-01 2014 UAB @ Middle Tennessee 58–68 regular
2014-02-27 2014 Middle Tennessee @ East Carolina 70–59 regular
2014-02-22 2014 Charlotte @ Middle Tennessee 46–48 regular
2014-02-20 2014 Marshall @ Middle Tennessee 36–75 regular
2014-02-15 2014 Middle Tennessee @ Florida Atlantic 83–77 regular
2014-02-12 2014 Middle Tennessee @ Florida International 65–58 regular
2014-02-08 2014 Rice @ Middle Tennessee 54–65 regular
2014-02-06 2014 Middle Tennessee @ Southern Miss 56–68 regular
2014-02-01 2014 Middle Tennessee @ Tulsa 67–57 regular
2014-01-30 2014 Middle Tennessee @ Southern Miss postponed regular
2014-01-25 2014 Old Dominion @ Middle Tennessee 49–62 regular
2014-01-23 2014 UTSA @ Middle Tennessee 41–60 regular
2014-01-18 2014 Middle Tennessee @ UAB 61–55 regular
2014-01-16 2014 UTEP @ Middle Tennessee 58–69 regular
2014-01-11 2014 Middle Tennessee @ Louisiana Tech 68–51 regular
2014-01-09 2014 North Texas @ Middle Tennessee 42–86 regular
2014-01-03 2014 Tennessee Tech @ Middle Tennessee 53–84 regular
2013-12-29 2014 Middle Tennessee @ Clemson 76–51 regular
2013-12-21 2014 South Dakota State @ Middle Tennessee 44–59 regular
2013-12-19 2014 Middle Tennessee @ South Florida 68–62 regular
2013-12-17 2014 Middle Tennessee @ UCF 63–51 regular
2013-12-12 2014 Kennesaw State @ Middle Tennessee 32–68 regular
2013-12-04 2014 Middle Tennessee @ Austin Peay 69–43 regular
2013-12-01 2014 Mississippi State @ Middle Tennessee N 48–62 regular
2013-11-30 2014 Wright State @ Middle Tennessee N 62–69 regular
2013-11-29 2014 SE Louisiana @ Middle Tennessee N 71–88 regular
2013-11-24 2014 Kentucky @ Middle Tennessee 84–72 regular
2013-11-20 2014 Middle Tennessee @ Arkansas 51–66 regular
2013-11-16 2014 Middle Tennessee @ Miami 61–55 regular
2013-11-09 2014 Tennessee @ Middle Tennessee 67–57 regular