cbb·system

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2019

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.97 points per possession 0.14
DE 0.88 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.09 points per possession 0.19
PACE 61.52 possessions per game 5.27

At season 2019's latest cutoff (2019-04-07 22:00), with 34 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Middle Tennessee AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2019. Axis spans -1.23 to 1.60 over 130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2019

SeasonWLPct
20192311 0.676

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbMiddle Tennessee auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2019-03-24 2019 Middle Tennessee @ Ohio 57–59 other_postseason
2019-03-21 2019 IU Indianapolis @ Middle Tennessee 47–59 other_postseason
2019-03-16 2019 Middle Tennessee @ Rice N 54–69 conf_tournament
2019-03-16 2019 Middle Tennessee @ UAB N 75–65 conf_tournament
2019-03-14 2019 UTEP @ Middle Tennessee N 44–66 conf_tournament
2019-03-08 2019 Middle Tennessee @ Western Kentucky 56–67 regular
2019-03-02 2019 Florida Atlantic @ Middle Tennessee 48–74 regular
2019-02-23 2019 Middle Tennessee @ UAB 72–77 regular
2019-02-16 2019 Marshall @ Middle Tennessee 59–53 regular
2019-02-15 2019 Western Kentucky @ Middle Tennessee 69–81 regular
2019-02-09 2019 Middle Tennessee @ Old Dominion 65–70 regular
2019-02-08 2019 Middle Tennessee @ Charlotte 62–55 regular
2019-02-03 2019 UAB @ Middle Tennessee 44–60 regular
2019-01-26 2019 North Texas @ Middle Tennessee 46–61 regular
2019-01-25 2019 Rice @ Middle Tennessee 60–47 regular
2019-01-19 2019 Middle Tennessee @ UTEP 79–49 regular
2019-01-18 2019 Middle Tennessee @ UTSA 72–52 regular
2019-01-13 2019 Louisiana Tech @ Middle Tennessee 38–75 regular
2019-01-11 2019 Southern Miss @ Middle Tennessee 49–66 regular
2019-01-05 2019 Middle Tennessee @ Florida Atlantic 74–55 regular
2019-01-04 2019 Middle Tennessee @ Florida International 49–43 regular
2018-12-30 2019 Middle Tennessee @ Fordham 49–61 regular
2018-12-29 2019 Middle Tennessee @ Chattanooga N 58–47 regular
2018-12-21 2019 UNC Asheville @ Middle Tennessee 46–67 regular
2018-12-15 2019 Middle Tennessee @ Kentucky 55–72 regular
2018-12-05 2019 Middle Tennessee @ Troy 67–64 regular
2018-11-29 2019 Georgia State @ Middle Tennessee 54–69 regular
2018-11-25 2019 Middle Tennessee @ UNLV 66–62 regular
2018-11-24 2019 Middle Tennessee @ Dartmouth N 70–58 regular
2018-11-21 2019 Mississippi Valley State @ Middle Tennessee 51–101 regular
2018-11-20 2019 Belmont @ Middle Tennessee 45–38 regular
2018-11-17 2019 Middle Tennessee @ Tennessee Tech 64–68 regular
2018-11-11 2019 Middle Tennessee @ Furman 78–71 regular
2018-11-10 2019 Vanderbilt @ Middle Tennessee 58–65 regular