cbb·system

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Round of 64 (out) 2023

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.10 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.84 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.26 points per possession 0.18
PACE 65.11 possessions per game 4.77

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-02 19:30), with 33 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Middle Tennessee AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans -0.10 to 0.75 over 125 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
2023285 0.848

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbMiddle Tennessee auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-18 2023 Middle Tennessee @ Colorado N 60–82 ncaa_tournament
2023-03-11 2023 Western Kentucky @ Middle Tennessee N 70–82 conf_tournament
2023-03-10 2023 UTEP @ Middle Tennessee N 62–68 conf_tournament
2023-03-09 2023 Charlotte @ Middle Tennessee N 53–84 conf_tournament
2023-03-04 2023 UTEP @ Middle Tennessee 68–72 regular
2023-03-03 2023 North Texas @ Middle Tennessee 45–72 regular
2023-02-25 2023 Middle Tennessee @ Louisiana Tech 61–59 regular
2023-02-18 2023 Middle Tennessee @ Florida International 85–46 regular
2023-02-17 2023 Middle Tennessee @ Florida Atlantic 85–77 regular
2023-02-11 2023 UAB @ Middle Tennessee 42–63 regular
2023-02-10 2023 Western Kentucky @ Middle Tennessee 81–94 regular
2023-02-04 2023 Middle Tennessee @ UTSA 53–58 regular
2023-02-03 2023 Middle Tennessee @ UTEP 62–65 regular
2023-01-28 2023 Florida International @ Middle Tennessee 41–67 regular
2023-01-27 2023 Florida Atlantic @ Middle Tennessee 48–63 regular
2023-01-21 2023 Louisiana Tech @ Middle Tennessee 50–68 regular
2023-01-19 2023 Middle Tennessee @ Charlotte 65–41 regular
2023-01-17 2023 Middle Tennessee @ UAB 76–54 regular
2023-01-12 2023 Rice @ Middle Tennessee 56–85 regular
2023-01-07 2023 Middle Tennessee @ North Texas 76–57 regular
2023-01-06 2023 UTSA @ Middle Tennessee 41–80 regular
2022-12-31 2023 Middle Tennessee @ Western Kentucky 80–75 regular
2022-12-30 2023 Charlotte @ Middle Tennessee 46–71 regular
2022-12-20 2023 Middle Tennessee @ Rice 74–68 regular
2022-12-15 2023 Houston @ Middle Tennessee 61–68 regular
2022-12-10 2023 Middle Tennessee @ Memphis 69–53 regular
2022-12-04 2023 Louisville @ Middle Tennessee 49–67 regular
2022-12-01 2023 Tennessee Tech @ Middle Tennessee 45–83 regular
2022-11-26 2023 Middle Tennessee @ Missouri State N 79–54 regular
2022-11-25 2023 Texas Tech @ Middle Tennessee N 72–67 regular
2022-11-17 2023 Belmont @ Middle Tennessee 62–80 regular
2022-11-13 2023 Middle Tennessee @ Southern Illinois 90–38 regular
2022-11-08 2023 Middle Tennessee @ Mercer 75–76 regular