Dayton Flyers
womens
canonical name from espn_wbb
Ratings · 2025
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 0.92 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 0.94 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | -0.01 | points per possession | 0.19 |
| PACE | 69.01 | possessions per game | 4.81 |
At season 2025's latest cutoff
(2025-04-06 19:00),
with 31 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025.
Axis spans -0.46 to 0.43 over
130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
25).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2025
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 18 | 13 | 0.581 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| espn_wbb | Dayton | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-08 | 2025 | Dayton @ Davidson N | 36–56 | conf_tournament |
| 2025-03-07 | 2025 | La Salle @ Dayton N | 45–60 | conf_tournament |
| 2025-03-01 | 2025 | Dayton @ St. Bonaventure | 67–57 | regular |
| 2025-02-27 | 2025 | Saint Joseph's @ Dayton | 65–74 | regular |
| 2025-02-22 | 2025 | Fordham @ Dayton | 57–62 | regular |
| 2025-02-20 | 2025 | Dayton @ Saint Louis | 63–72 | regular |
| 2025-02-15 | 2025 | Dayton @ George Washington | 66–51 | regular |
| 2025-02-12 | 2025 | Davidson @ Dayton | 61–51 | regular |
| 2025-02-08 | 2025 | Dayton @ Rhode Island | 36–57 | regular |
| 2025-02-01 | 2025 | George Mason @ Dayton | 86–53 | regular |
| 2025-01-30 | 2025 | Dayton @ Loyola Chicago | 67–64 | regular |
| 2025-01-26 | 2025 | Richmond @ Dayton | 83–72 | regular |
| 2025-01-23 | 2025 | Saint Louis @ Dayton | 76–87 | regular |
| 2025-01-18 | 2025 | Dayton @ Fordham | 55–58 | regular |
| 2025-01-15 | 2025 | Dayton @ Duquesne | 80–71 | regular |
| 2025-01-11 | 2025 | La Salle @ Dayton | 61–79 | regular |
| 2025-01-09 | 2025 | Massachusetts @ Dayton | 64–67 | regular |
| 2025-01-05 | 2025 | Dayton @ VCU | 69–49 | regular |
| 2025-01-03 | 2025 | Loyola Chicago @ Dayton | 45–83 | regular |
| 2024-12-29 | 2025 | Dayton @ Richmond | 37–55 | regular |
| 2024-12-20 | 2025 | Vanderbilt @ Dayton | 80–66 | regular |
| 2024-12-15 | 2025 | Central Michigan @ Dayton | 68–72 | regular |
| 2024-12-06 | 2025 | Miami (OH) @ Dayton | 60–43 | regular |
| 2024-12-01 | 2025 | Central Connecticut @ Dayton | 38–65 | regular |
| 2024-11-26 | 2025 | Dayton @ South Dakota N | 69–79 | regular |
| 2024-11-25 | 2025 | Maryland Eastern Shore @ Dayton N | 62–56 | regular |
| 2024-11-22 | 2025 | Providence @ Dayton | 61–65 | regular |
| 2024-11-17 | 2025 | Tennessee State @ Dayton | 58–76 | regular |
| 2024-11-15 | 2025 | Dayton @ Duke | 49–84 | regular |
| 2024-11-09 | 2025 | Delaware State @ Dayton | 44–79 | regular |
| 2024-11-06 | 2025 | Southeast Missouri State @ Dayton | 70–75 | regular |