cbb·system

Montana State Bobcats

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.96 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.92 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.05 points per possession 0.18
PACE 70.06 possessions per game 4.52

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-02 19:30), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Montana State AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans -0.36 to 0.45 over 125 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20232011 0.645

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbMontana State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-05 2023 Portland State @ Montana State N 77–65 conf_tournament
2023-02-28 2023 Eastern Washington @ Montana State 78–65 regular
2023-02-25 2023 Montana State @ Portland State 63–34 regular
2023-02-24 2023 Montana State @ Sacramento State 73–82 regular
2023-02-18 2023 Montana @ Montana State 73–75 regular
2023-02-11 2023 Idaho State @ Montana State 53–70 regular
2023-02-10 2023 Weber State @ Montana State 60–75 regular
2023-02-04 2023 Montana State @ Northern Colorado 80–60 regular
2023-02-03 2023 Montana State @ Northern Arizona 50–79 regular
2023-01-28 2023 Sacramento State @ Montana State 60–61 regular
2023-01-27 2023 Portland State @ Montana State 52–64 regular
2023-01-21 2023 Montana State @ Montana 72–63 regular
2023-01-17 2023 Idaho @ Montana State 65–72 regular
2023-01-14 2023 Montana State @ Weber State 80–65 regular
2023-01-13 2023 Montana State @ Idaho State 60–57 regular
2023-01-07 2023 Northern Arizona @ Montana State 85–80 regular
2023-01-06 2023 Northern Colorado @ Montana State 40–61 regular
2022-12-31 2023 Montana State @ Eastern Washington 92–84 regular
2022-12-30 2023 Montana State @ Idaho 53–72 regular
2022-12-22 2023 Cal Poly @ Montana State canceled regular
2022-12-19 2023 Montana State @ Nevada N 64–43 regular
2022-12-18 2023 Montana State @ LSU N 52–91 regular
2022-12-13 2023 Saint Mary's @ Montana State 56–91 regular
2022-12-03 2023 Montana State @ Wyoming 59–67 regular
2022-12-01 2023 South Dakota State @ Montana State 66–71 regular
2022-11-27 2023 Montana State @ North Texas 57–66 regular
2022-11-25 2023 Abilene Christian @ Montana State N 66–61 regular
2022-11-23 2023 Montana State @ San José State 74–65 regular
2022-11-19 2023 North Dakota @ Montana State 66–77 regular
2022-11-16 2023 Arizona State @ Montana State 79–64 regular
2022-11-12 2023 Montana State @ BYU 69–60 regular
2022-11-07 2023 Providence (MT) @ Montana State 31–78 non_d1