cbb·system

Montana State Bobcats

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2024

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.88 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.87 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.01 points per possession 0.19
PACE 66.38 possessions per game 4.66

At season 2024's latest cutoff (2024-04-07 19:00), with 33 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Montana State AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2024. Axis spans -0.38 to 0.51 over 131 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2024

SeasonWLPct
20241716 0.515

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbMontana State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2024-03-12 2024 Montana State @ Eastern Washington N 39–56 conf_tournament
2024-03-11 2024 Northern Colorado @ Montana State N 44–47 conf_tournament
2024-03-05 2024 Montana State @ Weber State 67–65 regular
2024-03-02 2024 Eastern Washington @ Montana State 52–50 regular
2024-03-01 2024 Idaho @ Montana State 58–53 regular
2024-02-24 2024 Montana State @ Sacramento State 55–51 regular
2024-02-23 2024 Montana State @ Portland State 55–60 regular
2024-02-17 2024 Montana State @ Montana 50–72 regular
2024-02-10 2024 Northern Arizona @ Montana State 71–58 regular
2024-02-09 2024 Northern Colorado @ Montana State 40–61 regular
2024-02-03 2024 Montana State @ Idaho 51–46 regular
2024-02-02 2024 Montana State @ Eastern Washington 62–61 regular
2024-01-27 2024 Portland State @ Montana State 50–71 regular
2024-01-26 2024 Sacramento State @ Montana State 54–60 regular
2024-01-23 2024 Montana State @ Idaho State 53–62 regular
2024-01-20 2024 Montana @ Montana State 55–64 regular
2024-01-13 2024 Montana State @ Northern Colorado 53–58 regular
2024-01-12 2024 Montana State @ Northern Arizona 73–88 regular
2024-01-06 2024 Montana State @ South Dakota State 53–61 regular
2024-01-04 2024 North Dakota State @ Montana State 45–65 regular
2023-12-31 2024 Weber State @ Montana State 43–57 regular
2023-12-30 2024 Idaho State @ Montana State 56–58 regular
2023-12-22 2024 North Texas @ Montana State 58–71 regular
2023-12-17 2024 Wyoming @ Montana State 55–64 regular
2023-12-09 2024 Montana State @ Saint Mary's 53–59 regular
2023-12-06 2024 Montana State @ Washington 50–55 regular
2023-12-03 2024 Montana State @ Portland 64–73 regular
2023-11-25 2024 James Madison @ Montana State N 65–62 regular
2023-11-24 2024 Montana State @ New Mexico N 75–57 regular
2023-11-19 2024 Montana State @ North Dakota 60–53 regular
2023-11-15 2024 San José State @ Montana State 49–62 regular
2023-11-11 2024 Montana State @ Arizona State 62–75 regular
2023-11-07 2024 BYU @ Montana State 68–60 regular