cbb·system

UTSA Roadrunners

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2015

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.85 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.76 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.09 points per possession 0.18
PACE 72.00 possessions per game 4.39

At season 2015's latest cutoff (2015-03-10 01:00), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

UTSA AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2015. Axis spans -0.40 to 0.60 over 91 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2015

SeasonWLPct
20151615 0.516

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbUTSA auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2015-03-13 2015 Old Dominion @ UTSA N 63–49 conf_tournament
2015-03-08 2015 UTSA @ North Texas 57–54 regular
2015-03-06 2015 UTSA @ Rice 60–49 regular
2015-03-01 2015 Louisiana Tech @ UTSA 53–60 regular
2015-02-27 2015 Southern Miss @ UTSA 61–59 regular
2015-02-21 2015 UTEP @ UTSA 59–72 regular
2015-02-15 2015 UTSA @ Charlotte 54–74 regular
2015-02-13 2015 UTSA @ Old Dominion 52–51 regular
2015-02-08 2015 Florida Atlantic @ UTSA 45–68 regular
2015-02-06 2015 Florida International @ UTSA 56–74 regular
2015-01-31 2015 UTSA @ UAB 57–73 regular
2015-01-30 2015 UTSA @ Middle Tennessee 53–73 regular
2015-01-24 2015 Western Kentucky @ UTSA 63–64 regular
2015-01-23 2015 Marshall @ UTSA 48–60 regular
2015-01-17 2015 UTSA @ UTEP 55–53 regular
2015-01-11 2015 UTSA @ Louisiana Tech 74–79 regular
2015-01-09 2015 UTSA @ Southern Miss 60–69 regular
2015-01-04 2015 North Texas @ UTSA 45–53 regular
2015-01-03 2015 Rice @ UTSA 62–58 regular
2014-12-29 2015 SIU Edwardsville @ UTSA 60–75 regular
2014-12-28 2015 South Dakota @ UTSA 76–69 regular
2014-12-21 2015 UTSA @ Nicholls N 49–57 regular
2014-12-20 2015 UTSA @ Texas Tech 48–64 regular
2014-12-19 2015 Houston @ UTSA N 56–53 regular
2014-12-05 2015 Texas State @ UTSA 57–53 regular
2014-12-03 2015 UTSA @ UT Arlington 63–55 regular
2014-11-30 2015 Incarnate Word @ UTSA 31–57 regular
2014-11-28 2015 Drake @ UTSA 69–61 regular
2014-11-23 2015 UTSA @ Lamar 72–40 regular
2014-11-20 2015 Abilene Christian @ UTSA 57–70 regular
2014-11-15 2015 UTSA @ Texas 48–68 regular