cbb·system

UTSA Roadrunners

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2019

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.77 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.95 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.18 points per possession 0.19
PACE 70.36 possessions per game 4.77

At season 2019's latest cutoff (2019-04-07 22:00), with 26 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

UTSA AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2019. Axis spans -1.46 to 1.42 over 130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2019

SeasonWLPct
2019721 0.250

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbUTSA auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2019-03-08 2019 Rice @ UTSA 72–46 regular
2019-03-02 2019 UTSA @ Southern Miss 39–72 regular
2019-02-23 2019 UTSA @ UTEP 73–77 regular
2019-02-16 2019 Louisiana Tech @ UTSA 68–70 regular
2019-02-15 2019 Southern Miss @ UTSA 70–45 regular
2019-02-09 2019 UTSA @ Florida Atlantic 70–86 regular
2019-02-07 2019 UTSA @ Florida International 40–51 regular
2019-02-02 2019 Marshall @ UTSA 79–72 regular
2019-01-31 2019 Western Kentucky @ UTSA 81–62 regular
2019-01-26 2019 UTSA @ Old Dominion 47–72 regular
2019-01-25 2019 UTSA @ Charlotte 54–66 regular
2019-01-19 2019 UAB @ UTSA 59–42 regular
2019-01-18 2019 Middle Tennessee @ UTSA 72–52 regular
2019-01-12 2019 UTSA @ North Texas 57–54 regular
2019-01-11 2019 UTSA @ Rice 54–85 regular
2019-01-05 2019 UTEP @ UTSA 73–60 regular
2018-12-30 2019 Texas A&M-Kingsville @ UTSA 55–86 non_d1
2018-12-20 2019 UTSA @ UT Arlington 48–53 regular
2018-12-15 2019 San Diego @ UTSA 77–87 regular
2018-12-06 2019 Utah State @ UTSA 62–56 regular
2018-11-28 2019 UTSA @ Texas 54–98 regular
2018-11-25 2019 Weber State @ UTSA 59–66 regular
2018-11-23 2019 IU Indianapolis @ UTSA 58–50 regular
2018-11-21 2019 Texas State @ UTSA 68–60 regular
2018-11-15 2019 UT Rio Grande Valley @ UTSA 58–61 regular
2018-11-11 2019 UTSA @ Seton Hall 53–84 regular
2018-11-10 2019 UTSA @ UMBC N 58–72 regular
2018-11-07 2019 Concordia (TX) @ UTSA 51–78 non_d1