cbb·system

Maine Black Bears

mens Am. East canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2015

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.93 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.16 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.24 points per possession 0.18
PACE 65.36 possessions per game 4.76

At season 2015's latest cutoff (2015-04-07 01:18), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2017 · 2016 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Series smoothed · raw fit

Warm-up show · hidden

AdjOE (points per possession)
Maine AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffsD-I average 1.04 (Apr 07)Jan 20, 2015 AdjOE 0.92 ± 0.25 (2σ) 18 games playedJan 21, 2015 AdjOE 0.91 ± 0.25 (2σ) 18 games playedJan 22, 2015 AdjOE 0.91 ± 0.25 (2σ) 18 games playedJan 23, 2015 AdjOE 0.90 ± 0.26 (2σ) 19 games playedJan 24, 2015 AdjOE 0.90 ± 0.25 (2σ) 19 games playedJan 25, 2015 AdjOE 0.90 ± 0.26 (2σ) 19 games playedJan 26, 2015 AdjOE 0.90 ± 0.25 (2σ) 20 games playedJan 27, 2015 AdjOE 0.91 ± 0.25 (2σ) 20 games playedJan 28, 2015 AdjOE 0.91 ± 0.26 (2σ) 20 games playedJan 29, 2015 AdjOE 0.91 ± 0.26 (2σ) 21 games playedJan 30, 2015 AdjOE 0.91 ± 0.25 (2σ) 21 games playedJan 31, 2015 AdjOE 0.91 ± 0.26 (2σ) 21 games playedFeb 01, 2015 AdjOE 0.91 ± 0.26 (2σ) 22 games playedFeb 01, 2015 AdjOE 0.90 ± 0.26 (2σ) 22 games playedFeb 03, 2015 AdjOE 0.90 ± 0.25 (2σ) 22 games playedFeb 04, 2015 AdjOE 0.91 ± 0.26 (2σ) 23 games playedFeb 05, 2015 AdjOE 0.91 ± 0.25 (2σ) 23 games playedFeb 06, 2015 AdjOE 0.90 ± 0.26 (2σ) 23 games playedFeb 07, 2015 AdjOE 0.90 ± 0.26 (2σ) 23 games playedFeb 08, 2015 AdjOE 0.90 ± 0.26 (2σ) 24 games playedFeb 09, 2015 AdjOE 0.90 ± 0.26 (2σ) 24 games playedFeb 10, 2015 AdjOE 0.90 ± 0.26 (2σ) 24 games playedFeb 11, 2015 AdjOE 0.91 ± 0.26 (2σ) 24 games playedFeb 12, 2015 AdjOE 0.91 ± 0.26 (2σ) 24 games playedFeb 14, 2015 AdjOE 0.91 ± 0.26 (2σ) 24 games playedFeb 15, 2015 AdjOE 0.91 ± 0.26 (2σ) 25 games playedFeb 16, 2015 AdjOE 0.91 ± 0.26 (2σ) 25 games playedFeb 17, 2015 AdjOE 0.91 ± 0.26 (2σ) 25 games playedFeb 18, 2015 AdjOE 0.91 ± 0.26 (2σ) 25 games playedFeb 19, 2015 AdjOE 0.91 ± 0.26 (2σ) 26 games playedFeb 20, 2015 AdjOE 0.91 ± 0.26 (2σ) 26 games playedFeb 21, 2015 AdjOE 0.91 ± 0.26 (2σ) 26 games playedFeb 22, 2015 AdjOE 0.91 ± 0.26 (2σ) 27 games playedFeb 23, 2015 AdjOE 0.91 ± 0.26 (2σ) 27 games playedFeb 24, 2015 AdjOE 0.91 ± 0.26 (2σ) 27 games playedFeb 25, 2015 AdjOE 0.92 ± 0.26 (2σ) 27 games playedFeb 26, 2015 AdjOE 0.92 ± 0.26 (2σ) 28 games playedFeb 27, 2015 AdjOE 0.92 ± 0.26 (2σ) 28 games playedFeb 28, 2015 AdjOE 0.92 ± 0.26 (2σ) 28 games playedMar 01, 2015 AdjOE 0.92 ± 0.26 (2σ) 29 games playedMar 03, 2015 AdjOE 0.92 ± 0.26 (2σ) 29 games playedMar 04, 2015 AdjOE 0.92 ± 0.26 (2σ) 29 games playedMar 05, 2015 AdjOE 0.92 ± 0.26 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 06, 2015 AdjOE 0.92 ± 0.26 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 07, 2015 AdjOE 0.92 ± 0.26 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 08, 2015 AdjOE 0.92 ± 0.26 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 09, 2015 AdjOE 0.92 ± 0.26 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 10, 2015 AdjOE 0.92 ± 0.26 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 11, 2015 AdjOE 0.92 ± 0.26 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 12, 2015 AdjOE 0.92 ± 0.26 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 13, 2015 AdjOE 0.92 ± 0.26 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 14, 2015 AdjOE 0.92 ± 0.27 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 15, 2015 AdjOE 0.92 ± 0.26 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 15, 2015 AdjOE 0.92 ± 0.26 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 16, 2015 AdjOE 0.92 ± 0.26 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 19, 2015 AdjOE 0.93 ± 0.27 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 20, 2015 AdjOE 0.93 ± 0.26 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 21, 2015 AdjOE 0.93 ± 0.26 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 22, 2015 AdjOE 0.93 ± 0.26 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 23, 2015 AdjOE 0.93 ± 0.26 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 24, 2015 AdjOE 0.93 ± 0.26 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 25, 2015 AdjOE 0.93 ± 0.26 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 26, 2015 AdjOE 0.93 ± 0.26 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 27, 2015 AdjOE 0.93 ± 0.26 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 28, 2015 AdjOE 0.93 ± 0.26 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 29, 2015 AdjOE 0.93 ± 0.28 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 29, 2015 AdjOE 0.93 ± 0.26 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 31, 2015 AdjOE 0.93 ± 0.26 (2σ) 30 games playedApr 01, 2015 AdjOE 0.93 ± 0.26 (2σ) 30 games playedApr 02, 2015 AdjOE 0.93 ± 0.26 (2σ) 30 games playedApr 03, 2015 AdjOE 0.93 ± 0.26 (2σ) 30 games playedApr 05, 2015 AdjOE 0.92 ± 0.26 (2σ) 30 games playedApr 07, 2015 AdjOE 0.93 ± 0.26 (2σ) 30 games played
Walk-forward cutoff, season 2015
  • AdjOE (smoothed)
  • ±2σ, the model's own uncertainty
  • D-I average at the season's latest cutoff
AdjOE at each of 73 walk-forward cutoffs (train_cutoff_at) in season 2015. Hover or tap for the value, its ±2σ and games played at that cutoff. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The warm-up stretch is hidden — the toggle above brings it back. This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2015

SeasonWLPct
2015327 0.100

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdMaine auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2015-03-05 2015 Maine @ UAlbany 66–83 conf_tournament
2015-02-28 2015 Maine @ New Hampshire 56–65 regular
2015-02-26 2015 Hartford @ Maine 63–60 regular
2015-02-21 2015 Maine @ UMBC 66–73 regular
2015-02-19 2015 Maine @ UMass Lowell 71–82 regular
2015-02-14 2015 Maine @ Stony Brook 52–80 regular
2015-02-07 2015 Binghamton @ Maine 64–67 regular
2015-02-04 2015 Maine @ Vermont 49–68 regular
2015-01-31 2015 UAlbany @ Maine 77–59 regular
2015-01-29 2015 New Hampshire @ Maine 63–58 regular
2015-01-25 2015 Maine @ Hartford 70–61 regular
2015-01-23 2015 UMBC @ Maine 76–59 regular
2015-01-19 2015 NJIT @ Maine 65–55 regular
2015-01-17 2015 Stony Brook @ Maine 82–39 regular
2015-01-14 2015 UMass Lowell @ Maine 62–59 regular
2015-01-10 2015 Maine @ Binghamton 46–65 regular
2015-01-08 2015 Vermont @ Maine 68–54 regular
2015-01-04 2015 Maine @ UAlbany 56–80 regular
2014-12-30 2015 Maine @ Quinnipiac 64–81 regular
2014-12-27 2015 Maine @ Seton Hall 43–72 regular
2014-12-21 2015 Maine @ Army 69–72 regular
2014-12-12 2015 Maine @ Boston College 74–85 regular
2014-12-10 2015 Long Island University @ Maine 83–70 regular
2014-12-06 2015 Maine @ Dartmouth 51–74 regular
2014-12-03 2015 Wagner @ Maine 81–82 regular
2014-11-30 2015 Maine @ Northern Illinois 56–61 regular
2014-11-23 2015 Valparaiso @ Maine N 93–70 regular
2014-11-22 2015 Maine @ Central Michigan 48–76 regular
2014-11-18 2015 Maine @ NJIT 86–90 regular
2014-11-15 2015 Maine @ Butler 57–99 regular