cbb·system

Maine Black Bears

mens Am. East canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2015

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.93 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.16 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.24 points per possession 0.18
PACE 65.12 possessions per game 4.76

At season 2015's latest cutoff (2015-04-07 01:18), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2017 · 2016 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Series smoothed · raw fit

Warm-up shown · hide

AdjPace (possessions per game)
Maine AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibratedD-I average 64.09 (Apr 07)Dec 17, 2014 AdjPace 70.62 ± 7.92 (2σ) 9 games playedDec 18, 2014 AdjPace 70.37 ± 7.98 (2σ) 9 games playedDec 19, 2014 AdjPace 70.32 ± 8.06 (2σ) 9 games playedDec 20, 2014 AdjPace 72.38 ± 8.20 (2σ) 9 games playedDec 21, 2014 AdjPace 69.90 ± 8.18 (2σ) 9 games playedDec 22, 2014 AdjPace 70.37 ± 8.26 (2σ) 10 games playedDec 23, 2014 AdjPace 71.29 ± 8.25 (2σ) 10 games playedDec 24, 2014 AdjPace 70.05 ± 8.05 (2σ) 10 games playedDec 26, 2014 AdjPace 70.25 ± 8.07 (2σ) 10 games playedDec 28, 2014 AdjPace 69.95 ± 8.36 (2σ) 11 games playedDec 29, 2014 AdjPace 69.79 ± 8.17 (2σ) 11 games playedDec 30, 2014 AdjPace 69.68 ± 8.36 (2σ) 12 games playedDec 31, 2014 AdjPace 69.75 ± 8.42 (2σ) 12 games playedJan 01, 2015 AdjPace 69.79 ± 8.64 (2σ) 12 games playedJan 02, 2015 AdjPace 70.89 ± 8.26 (2σ) 12 games playedJan 03, 2015 AdjPace 70.07 ± 8.65 (2σ) 12 games playedJan 04, 2015 AdjPace 69.97 ± 8.45 (2σ) 13 games playedJan 05, 2015 AdjPace 69.53 ± 8.49 (2σ) 13 games playedJan 06, 2015 AdjPace 68.41 ± 8.79 (2σ) 13 games playedJan 07, 2015 AdjPace 69.08 ± 8.71 (2σ) 13 games playedJan 08, 2015 AdjPace 68.70 ± 8.95 (2σ) 14 games playedJan 09, 2015 AdjPace 69.38 ± 8.99 (2σ) 14 games playedJan 10, 2015 AdjPace 68.85 ± 8.76 (2σ) 14 games playedJan 11, 2015 AdjPace 67.52 ± 9.20 (2σ) 15 games playedJan 12, 2015 AdjPace 67.68 ± 8.94 (2σ) 15 games playedJan 13, 2015 AdjPace 67.07 ± 9.16 (2σ) 15 games playedJan 14, 2015 AdjPace 66.55 ± 9.06 (2σ) 16 games playedJan 15, 2015 AdjPace 67.18 ± 9.03 (2σ) 16 games playedJan 16, 2015 AdjPace 66.82 ± 8.96 (2σ) 16 games playedJan 17, 2015 AdjPace 67.47 ± 8.91 (2σ) 16 games playedJan 18, 2015 AdjPace 66.70 ± 9.14 (2σ) 17 games playedJan 19, 2015 AdjPace 66.74 ± 9.03 (2σ) 17 games playedJan 20, 2015 AdjPace 67.20 ± 9.22 (2σ) 18 games playedJan 21, 2015 AdjPace 67.10 ± 9.09 (2σ) 18 games playedJan 22, 2015 AdjPace 66.23 ± 9.36 (2σ) 18 games playedJan 23, 2015 AdjPace 66.74 ± 9.13 (2σ) 19 games playedJan 24, 2015 AdjPace 66.95 ± 9.20 (2σ) 19 games playedJan 25, 2015 AdjPace 66.46 ± 9.08 (2σ) 19 games playedJan 26, 2015 AdjPace 66.65 ± 9.08 (2σ) 20 games playedJan 27, 2015 AdjPace 67.18 ± 9.13 (2σ) 20 games playedJan 28, 2015 AdjPace 66.86 ± 9.17 (2σ) 20 games playedJan 29, 2015 AdjPace 67.47 ± 9.42 (2σ) 21 games playedJan 30, 2015 AdjPace 67.38 ± 9.07 (2σ) 21 games playedJan 31, 2015 AdjPace 67.71 ± 8.99 (2σ) 21 games playedFeb 01, 2015 AdjPace 67.89 ± 9.15 (2σ) 22 games playedFeb 01, 2015 AdjPace 67.27 ± 9.11 (2σ) 22 games playedFeb 03, 2015 AdjPace 66.50 ± 9.30 (2σ) 22 games playedFeb 04, 2015 AdjPace 66.56 ± 9.10 (2σ) 23 games playedFeb 05, 2015 AdjPace 67.33 ± 9.22 (2σ) 23 games playedFeb 06, 2015 AdjPace 67.25 ± 9.06 (2σ) 23 games playedFeb 07, 2015 AdjPace 67.19 ± 9.21 (2σ) 23 games playedFeb 08, 2015 AdjPace 66.64 ± 9.14 (2σ) 24 games playedFeb 09, 2015 AdjPace 66.64 ± 9.14 (2σ) 24 games playedFeb 10, 2015 AdjPace 65.87 ± 9.34 (2σ) 24 games playedFeb 11, 2015 AdjPace 65.81 ± 9.37 (2σ) 24 games playedFeb 12, 2015 AdjPace 66.65 ± 9.12 (2σ) 24 games playedFeb 14, 2015 AdjPace 66.85 ± 9.16 (2σ) 24 games playedFeb 15, 2015 AdjPace 66.86 ± 9.26 (2σ) 25 games playedFeb 16, 2015 AdjPace 66.62 ± 9.39 (2σ) 25 games playedFeb 17, 2015 AdjPace 66.25 ± 9.19 (2σ) 25 games playedFeb 18, 2015 AdjPace 66.73 ± 9.22 (2σ) 25 games playedFeb 19, 2015 AdjPace 66.41 ± 9.15 (2σ) 26 games playedFeb 20, 2015 AdjPace 65.96 ± 9.27 (2σ) 26 games playedFeb 21, 2015 AdjPace 66.18 ± 9.27 (2σ) 26 games playedFeb 22, 2015 AdjPace 66.85 ± 9.22 (2σ) 27 games playedFeb 23, 2015 AdjPace 65.98 ± 9.19 (2σ) 27 games playedFeb 24, 2015 AdjPace 66.32 ± 9.27 (2σ) 27 games playedFeb 25, 2015 AdjPace 66.18 ± 9.20 (2σ) 27 games playedFeb 26, 2015 AdjPace 67.00 ± 9.17 (2σ) 28 games playedFeb 27, 2015 AdjPace 67.18 ± 9.25 (2σ) 28 games playedFeb 28, 2015 AdjPace 66.83 ± 9.33 (2σ) 28 games playedMar 01, 2015 AdjPace 66.73 ± 9.26 (2σ) 29 games playedMar 03, 2015 AdjPace 66.59 ± 9.24 (2σ) 29 games playedMar 04, 2015 AdjPace 66.59 ± 9.20 (2σ) 29 games playedMar 05, 2015 AdjPace 67.12 ± 9.20 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 06, 2015 AdjPace 67.00 ± 9.25 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 07, 2015 AdjPace 67.23 ± 9.11 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 08, 2015 AdjPace 67.31 ± 9.17 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 09, 2015 AdjPace 66.98 ± 9.30 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 10, 2015 AdjPace 67.00 ± 9.14 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 11, 2015 AdjPace 66.23 ± 9.49 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 12, 2015 AdjPace 66.40 ± 9.22 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 13, 2015 AdjPace 66.17 ± 9.13 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 14, 2015 AdjPace 65.93 ± 9.13 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 15, 2015 AdjPace 65.01 ± 9.47 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 15, 2015 AdjPace 65.26 ± 9.29 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 16, 2015 AdjPace 65.22 ± 9.18 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 19, 2015 AdjPace 65.55 ± 9.27 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 20, 2015 AdjPace 66.96 ± 9.47 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 21, 2015 AdjPace 65.68 ± 9.32 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 22, 2015 AdjPace 65.91 ± 9.52 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 23, 2015 AdjPace 66.12 ± 9.23 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 24, 2015 AdjPace 66.16 ± 9.40 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 25, 2015 AdjPace 65.41 ± 9.45 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 26, 2015 AdjPace 65.24 ± 9.15 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 27, 2015 AdjPace 65.69 ± 9.21 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 28, 2015 AdjPace 67.02 ± 9.54 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 29, 2015 AdjPace 65.82 ± 9.16 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 29, 2015 AdjPace 64.97 ± 9.15 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 31, 2015 AdjPace 64.45 ± 9.44 (2σ) 30 games playedApr 01, 2015 AdjPace 64.71 ± 9.32 (2σ) 30 games playedApr 02, 2015 AdjPace 64.82 ± 9.30 (2σ) 30 games playedApr 03, 2015 AdjPace 65.74 ± 9.54 (2σ) 30 games playedApr 05, 2015 AdjPace 65.29 ± 9.30 (2σ) 30 games playedApr 07, 2015 AdjPace 65.12 ± 9.52 (2σ) 30 games played
Walk-forward cutoff, season 2015
  • AdjPace (raw fit)
  • ±2σ, the model's own uncertainty
  • warm-up gate (18 games)
  • D-I average at the season's latest cutoff
AdjPace at each of 105 walk-forward cutoffs (train_cutoff_at) in season 2015. Hover or tap for the value, its ±2σ and games played at that cutoff. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the raw fit: the model's own rating at each cutoff, unsmoothed.

Record · 2015

SeasonWLPct
2015327 0.100

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdMaine auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2015-03-05 2015 Maine @ UAlbany 66–83 conf_tournament
2015-02-28 2015 Maine @ New Hampshire 56–65 regular
2015-02-26 2015 Hartford @ Maine 63–60 regular
2015-02-21 2015 Maine @ UMBC 66–73 regular
2015-02-19 2015 Maine @ UMass Lowell 71–82 regular
2015-02-14 2015 Maine @ Stony Brook 52–80 regular
2015-02-07 2015 Binghamton @ Maine 64–67 regular
2015-02-04 2015 Maine @ Vermont 49–68 regular
2015-01-31 2015 UAlbany @ Maine 77–59 regular
2015-01-29 2015 New Hampshire @ Maine 63–58 regular
2015-01-25 2015 Maine @ Hartford 70–61 regular
2015-01-23 2015 UMBC @ Maine 76–59 regular
2015-01-19 2015 NJIT @ Maine 65–55 regular
2015-01-17 2015 Stony Brook @ Maine 82–39 regular
2015-01-14 2015 UMass Lowell @ Maine 62–59 regular
2015-01-10 2015 Maine @ Binghamton 46–65 regular
2015-01-08 2015 Vermont @ Maine 68–54 regular
2015-01-04 2015 Maine @ UAlbany 56–80 regular
2014-12-30 2015 Maine @ Quinnipiac 64–81 regular
2014-12-27 2015 Maine @ Seton Hall 43–72 regular
2014-12-21 2015 Maine @ Army 69–72 regular
2014-12-12 2015 Maine @ Boston College 74–85 regular
2014-12-10 2015 Long Island University @ Maine 83–70 regular
2014-12-06 2015 Maine @ Dartmouth 51–74 regular
2014-12-03 2015 Wagner @ Maine 81–82 regular
2014-11-30 2015 Maine @ Northern Illinois 56–61 regular
2014-11-23 2015 Valparaiso @ Maine N 93–70 regular
2014-11-22 2015 Maine @ Central Michigan 48–76 regular
2014-11-18 2015 Maine @ NJIT 86–90 regular
2014-11-15 2015 Maine @ Butler 57–99 regular