cbb·system

California Golden Bears

mens Pac-12 canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2021

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.06 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.00 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.05 points per possession 0.18
PACE 63.93 possessions per game 4.79

At season 2021's latest cutoff (2021-04-04 00:47), with 28 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

California AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2021. Axis spans -0.39 to 0.42 over 110 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2021

SeasonWLPct
2021920 0.310

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdCalifornia auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2021-03-12 2021 California @ Colorado N 58–61 conf_tournament
2021-03-11 2021 California @ Stanford N 76–58 conf_tournament
2021-02-27 2021 Oregon @ California 74–63 regular
2021-02-26 2021 Oregon State @ California 59–57 regular
2021-02-21 2021 California @ Washington 51–62 regular
2021-02-19 2021 California @ Washington State 51–82 regular
2021-02-14 2021 Colorado @ California 62–71 regular
2021-02-11 2021 Utah @ California 76–75 regular
2021-02-08 2021 California @ Stanford 70–76 regular
2021-02-05 2021 Stanford @ California 70–55 regular
2021-01-30 2021 California @ Arizona 50–71 regular
2021-01-29 2021 California @ Arizona State 68–72 regular
2021-01-24 2021 USC @ California 76–68 regular
2021-01-22 2021 UCLA @ California 61–57 regular
2021-01-17 2021 California @ Utah 72–63 regular
2021-01-14 2021 California @ Colorado 60–89 regular
2021-01-09 2021 Washington @ California 78–84 regular
2021-01-08 2021 Washington State @ California 71–60 regular
2021-01-02 2021 California @ Oregon State 64–73 regular
2021-01-01 2021 California @ Oregon 69–82 regular
2020-12-22 2021 Seattle U @ California 65–70 regular
2020-12-19 2021 Cal State Northridge @ California 56–87 regular
2020-12-13 2021 San Francisco @ California 70–72 regular
2020-12-10 2021 California @ Pepperdine 62–74 regular
2020-12-07 2021 California @ UCLA 56–76 regular
2020-12-04 2021 Arizona State @ California 70–62 regular
2020-12-01 2021 Nicholls @ California 49–60 regular
2020-11-26 2021 Northwest University @ California N 61–86 non_d1
2020-11-26 2021 California @ Oregon State 63–71 regular