cbb·system

California Golden Bears

mens Pac-12 canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2025

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.12 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.06 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.06 points per possession 0.19
PACE 69.05 possessions per game 4.30

At season 2025's latest cutoff (2025-04-08 00:50), with 33 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

California AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025. Axis spans -0.33 to 0.46 over 135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2025

SeasonWLPct
20251419 0.424

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdCalifornia auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2025-03-12 2025 California @ Stanford N 73–78 conf_tournament
2025-03-11 2025 California @ Virginia Tech N 82–73 conf_tournament
2025-03-08 2025 California @ Notre Dame 110–112 regular
2025-03-06 2025 California @ Louisville 68–85 regular
2025-03-02 2025 Boston College @ California 71–82 regular
2025-02-27 2025 SMU @ California 81–77 regular
2025-02-23 2025 California @ Stanford 61–66 regular
2025-02-15 2025 California @ Georgia Tech 88–90 regular
2025-02-13 2025 California @ Duke 57–78 regular
2025-02-08 2025 Wake Forest @ California 76–66 regular
2025-02-06 2025 NC State @ California 62–74 regular
2025-02-02 2025 Syracuse @ California 75–66 regular
2025-01-30 2025 California @ SMU 65–76 regular
2025-01-26 2025 Miami @ California 94–98 regular
2025-01-23 2025 Florida State @ California 68–77 regular
2025-01-18 2025 California @ NC State 65–62 regular
2025-01-16 2025 California @ North Carolina 53–79 regular
2025-01-11 2025 Virginia Tech @ California 71–68 regular
2025-01-09 2025 Virginia @ California 61–75 regular
2025-01-05 2025 California @ Clemson 68–80 regular
2025-01-01 2025 California @ Pittsburgh 74–86 regular
2024-12-22 2025 San Diego State @ California N 71–50 regular
2024-12-14 2025 Northwestern State @ California 66–84 regular
2024-12-11 2025 Cornell @ California 88–80 regular
2024-12-07 2025 Stanford @ California 89–81 regular
2024-12-04 2025 California @ Missouri 93–98 regular
2024-11-28 2025 Mercyhurst @ California 55–81 regular
2024-11-24 2025 Sacramento State @ California 77–83 regular
2024-11-22 2025 Air Force @ California 69–78 regular
2024-11-18 2025 California @ USC 71–66 regular
2024-11-14 2025 California @ Vanderbilt 69–85 regular
2024-11-08 2025 Cal Poly @ California 73–91 regular
2024-11-05 2025 Cal State Bakersfield @ California 73–86 regular