cbb·system

St. John's Red Storm

mens Big East canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.10 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.00 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.10 points per possession 0.19
PACE 73.58 possessions per game 4.00

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-04 01:20), with 33 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

St. John's AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans -0.33 to 0.49 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20231815 0.545

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdSt. John's auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-09 2023 St. John's @ Marquette N 70–72 conf_tournament
2023-03-08 2023 Butler @ St. John's N 63–76 conf_tournament
2023-03-04 2023 St. John's @ Marquette 94–96 regular
2023-02-25 2023 UConn @ St. John's 95–86 regular
2023-02-23 2023 St. John's @ Georgetown 79–70 regular
2023-02-19 2023 Creighton @ St. John's 77–67 regular
2023-02-15 2023 St. John's @ DePaul 92–83 regular
2023-02-11 2023 Providence @ St. John's 68–73 regular
2023-02-08 2023 St. John's @ Butler 66–68 regular
2023-02-04 2023 St. John's @ Xavier 71–96 regular
2023-02-02 2023 Seton Hall @ St. John's 84–72 regular
2023-01-29 2023 Georgetown @ St. John's 73–75 regular
2023-01-26 2023 St. John's @ Creighton 76–104 regular
2023-01-21 2023 Villanova @ St. John's 57–49 regular
2023-01-15 2023 St. John's @ UConn 85–74 regular
2023-01-10 2023 Butler @ St. John's 61–77 regular
2023-01-07 2023 St. John's @ Providence 80–83 regular
2023-01-03 2023 Marquette @ St. John's 96–85 regular
2022-12-31 2023 St. John's @ Seton Hall 66–88 regular
2022-12-29 2023 Xavier @ St. John's 84–79 regular
2022-12-21 2023 St. John's @ Villanova 63–78 regular
2022-12-17 2023 St. John's @ Florida State N 93–79 regular
2022-12-10 2023 New Hampshire @ St. John's 51–64 regular
2022-12-07 2023 DePaul @ St. John's 67–86 regular
2022-12-04 2023 St. John's @ Iowa State 60–71 regular
2022-11-29 2023 Long Island University @ St. John's 68–95 regular
2022-11-26 2023 Niagara @ St. John's 70–78 regular
2022-11-23 2023 Syracuse @ St. John's N 69–76 regular
2022-11-22 2023 St. John's @ Temple N 78–72 regular
2022-11-17 2023 Nebraska @ St. John's 50–70 regular
2022-11-16 2023 Central Connecticut @ St. John's 74–91 regular
2022-11-12 2023 Lafayette @ St. John's 68–83 regular
2022-11-07 2023 Merrimack @ St. John's 72–97 regular