cbb·system

St. John's Red Storm

mens Big East canonical name from espn_mbb #2 Round of 32 (out) 2025

Ratings · 2025

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.16 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.89 points per possession 0.15
ME 0.27 points per possession 0.20
PACE 69.80 possessions per game 4.29

At season 2025's latest cutoff (2025-04-08 00:50), with 36 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

St. John's AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025. Axis spans -0.18 to 0.70 over 135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2025

SeasonWLPct
2025315 0.861

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdSt. John's auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2025-03-22 2025 Arkansas @ St. John's N 75–66 ncaa_tournament
2025-03-21 2025 Omaha @ St. John's N 53–83 ncaa_tournament
2025-03-15 2025 Creighton @ St. John's N 66–82 conf_tournament
2025-03-14 2025 Marquette @ St. John's N 63–79 conf_tournament
2025-03-13 2025 Butler @ St. John's N 57–78 conf_tournament
2025-03-08 2025 St. John's @ Marquette 86–84 regular
2025-03-01 2025 Seton Hall @ St. John's 61–71 regular
2025-02-27 2025 St. John's @ Butler 76–70 regular
2025-02-23 2025 UConn @ St. John's 75–89 regular
2025-02-20 2025 St. John's @ DePaul 82–58 regular
2025-02-16 2025 Creighton @ St. John's 73–79 regular
2025-02-12 2025 St. John's @ Villanova 71–73 regular
2025-02-08 2025 St. John's @ UConn 68–62 regular
2025-02-04 2025 Marquette @ St. John's 64–70 regular
2025-02-01 2025 Providence @ St. John's 66–68 regular
2025-01-28 2025 St. John's @ Georgetown 66–41 regular
2025-01-23 2025 Xavier @ St. John's 71–79 regular
2025-01-19 2025 St. John's @ Seton Hall 79–51 regular
2025-01-15 2025 Georgetown @ St. John's 58–63 regular
2025-01-12 2025 Villanova @ St. John's 68–80 regular
2025-01-07 2025 St. John's @ Xavier 82–72 regular
2025-01-04 2025 Butler @ St. John's 62–70 regular
2024-12-31 2025 St. John's @ Creighton 56–57 regular
2024-12-28 2025 Delaware @ St. John's 76–97 regular
2024-12-21 2025 St. John's @ Providence 72–70 regular
2024-12-17 2025 DePaul @ St. John's 61–89 regular
2024-12-12 2025 Bryant @ St. John's 77–99 regular
2024-12-07 2025 Kansas State @ St. John's 71–88 regular
2024-11-30 2025 Harvard @ St. John's 64–77 regular
2024-11-24 2025 St. John's @ Georgia N 63–66 regular
2024-11-23 2025 Virginia @ St. John's N 55–80 regular
2024-11-22 2025 Baylor @ St. John's N 99–98 regular
2024-11-17 2025 New Mexico @ St. John's 71–85 regular
2024-11-13 2025 Wagner @ St. John's 45–66 regular
2024-11-09 2025 Quinnipiac @ St. John's 73–96 regular
2024-11-04 2025 Fordham @ St. John's 60–92 regular