cbb·system

North Dakota State Bison

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2018

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.92 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.07 points per possession 0.12
ME -0.15 points per possession 0.17
PACE 69.74 possessions per game 4.74

At season 2018's latest cutoff (2018-04-01 22:00), with 26 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

North Dakota State AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2018. Axis spans -0.51 to 0.43 over 123 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2018

SeasonWLPct
2018920 0.310

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbNorth Dakota State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2018-03-03 2018 North Dakota State @ South Dakota State N 62–87 conf_tournament
2018-02-24 2018 Omaha @ North Dakota State 59–57 regular
2018-02-23 2018 Western Illinois @ North Dakota State 77–60 regular
2018-02-15 2018 North Dakota State @ Purdue Fort Wayne 66–52 regular
2018-02-10 2018 Denver @ North Dakota State 78–73 regular
2018-02-09 2018 Oral Roberts @ North Dakota State 64–57 regular
2018-02-03 2018 North Dakota State @ South Dakota 54–80 regular
2018-02-02 2018 South Dakota State @ North Dakota State 85–64 regular
2018-01-27 2018 North Dakota State @ Western Illinois 72–97 regular
2018-01-25 2018 North Dakota State @ Omaha 67–80 regular
2018-01-20 2018 Purdue Fort Wayne @ North Dakota State 56–72 regular
2018-01-13 2018 North Dakota State @ Denver 79–98 regular
2018-01-12 2018 North Dakota State @ Oral Roberts 48–71 regular
2018-01-06 2018 North Dakota State @ South Dakota State 63–83 regular
2018-01-02 2018 South Dakota @ North Dakota State 82–67 regular
2017-12-30 2018 Dakota State @ North Dakota State 42–97 non_d1
2017-12-21 2018 Central Arkansas @ North Dakota State N 68–45 regular
2017-12-20 2018 North Dakota State @ Florida International 71–68 regular
2017-12-17 2018 Cal Poly @ North Dakota State 73–69 regular
2017-12-09 2018 North Dakota State @ North Dakota 68–79 regular
2017-12-06 2018 UT Rio Grande Valley @ North Dakota State 82–79 regular
2017-12-02 2018 North Dakota State @ Milwaukee 38–74 regular
2017-11-30 2018 North Dakota State @ Colorado 59–108 regular
2017-11-26 2018 UMBC @ North Dakota State N 53–67 regular
2017-11-25 2018 North Dakota State @ Navy 54–67 regular
2017-11-19 2018 Valley City State @ North Dakota State 58–67 non_d1
2017-11-18 2018 Massachusetts @ North Dakota State 70–82 regular
2017-11-12 2018 NJIT @ North Dakota State 58–105 regular
2017-11-10 2018 Mayville State @ North Dakota State 43–87 non_d1