cbb·system

North Dakota State Bison

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2022

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.94 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.00 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.06 points per possession 0.18
PACE 65.97 possessions per game 4.51

At season 2022's latest cutoff (2022-04-04 00:00), with 27 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

North Dakota State AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2022. Axis spans -0.45 to 0.42 over 124 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2022

SeasonWLPct
20221118 0.379

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbNorth Dakota State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2022-03-06 2022 North Dakota State @ Kansas City N 74–81 conf_tournament
2022-02-26 2022 North Dakota @ North Dakota State 64–81 regular
2022-02-19 2022 North Dakota State @ Kansas City 67–76 regular
2022-02-18 2022 North Dakota State @ Oral Roberts 64–68 regular
2022-02-12 2022 St. Thomas @ North Dakota State 60–69 regular
2022-02-11 2022 Western Illinois @ North Dakota State 61–59 regular
2022-02-05 2022 North Dakota State @ Denver 48–62 regular
2022-02-04 2022 North Dakota State @ Omaha 69–53 regular
2022-01-30 2022 South Dakota State @ North Dakota State 76–60 regular
2022-01-28 2022 South Dakota @ North Dakota State 78–59 regular
2022-01-22 2022 Oral Roberts @ North Dakota State 70–74 regular
2022-01-21 2022 Kansas City @ North Dakota State 67–62 regular
2022-01-15 2022 North Dakota State @ Western Illinois 63–55 regular
2022-01-14 2022 North Dakota State @ St. Thomas 62–73 regular
2022-01-08 2022 Omaha @ North Dakota State 68–54 regular
2022-01-07 2022 Denver @ North Dakota State 68–74 regular
2022-01-01 2022 North Dakota State @ South Dakota 38–65 regular
2021-12-31 2022 North Dakota State @ South Dakota State 60–77 regular
2021-12-23 2022 North Dakota State @ North Dakota 67–61 regular
2021-12-19 2022 Jamestown @ North Dakota State 36–82 non_d1
2021-12-12 2022 North Dakota State @ Wyoming 45–71 regular
2021-12-10 2022 North Dakota State @ Arizona 47–59 regular
2021-12-05 2022 Bradley @ North Dakota State 72–83 regular
2021-11-30 2022 North Dakota State @ Kansas State 57–78 regular
2021-11-24 2022 Dickinson State @ North Dakota State 42–95 non_d1
2021-11-21 2022 Montana @ North Dakota State 65–63 regular
2021-11-18 2022 Northern Iowa @ North Dakota State 76–63 regular
2021-11-13 2022 North Dakota State @ Green Bay 54–71 regular
2021-11-12 2022 North Dakota State @ Milwaukee 69–58 regular