cbb·system

Arizona State Sun Devils

mens Pac-12 canonical name from espn_mbb #11 Play-in (out) 2018

Ratings · 2018

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.19 points per possession 0.12
DE 1.02 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.17 points per possession 0.18
PACE 70.72 possessions per game 4.55

At season 2018's latest cutoff (2018-04-01 00:49), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2017 · 2016 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Series smoothed · raw fit

Warm-up show · hidden

AdjME (points per possession)
Arizona State AdjME across walk-forward cutoffsD-I average -0.00 (Apr 01)Jan 19, 2018 AdjME 0.22 ± 0.33 (2σ) 18 games playedJan 20, 2018 AdjME 0.22 ± 0.33 (2σ) 18 games playedJan 21, 2018 AdjME 0.21 ± 0.33 (2σ) 19 games playedJan 22, 2018 AdjME 0.21 ± 0.33 (2σ) 19 games playedJan 23, 2018 AdjME 0.21 ± 0.33 (2σ) 19 games playedJan 24, 2018 AdjME 0.20 ± 0.34 (2σ) 19 games playedJan 25, 2018 AdjME 0.20 ± 0.33 (2σ) 19 games playedJan 26, 2018 AdjME 0.20 ± 0.34 (2σ) 20 games playedJan 27, 2018 AdjME 0.20 ± 0.33 (2σ) 20 games playedJan 28, 2018 AdjME 0.20 ± 0.34 (2σ) 21 games playedJan 29, 2018 AdjME 0.20 ± 0.35 (2σ) 21 games playedJan 30, 2018 AdjME 0.20 ± 0.34 (2σ) 21 games playedJan 31, 2018 AdjME 0.20 ± 0.34 (2σ) 21 games playedFeb 01, 2018 AdjME 0.20 ± 0.34 (2σ) 21 games playedFeb 02, 2018 AdjME 0.20 ± 0.34 (2σ) 21 games playedFeb 03, 2018 AdjME 0.20 ± 0.34 (2σ) 22 games playedFeb 04, 2018 AdjME 0.19 ± 0.34 (2σ) 22 games playedFeb 04, 2018 AdjME 0.19 ± 0.34 (2σ) 22 games playedFeb 06, 2018 AdjME 0.19 ± 0.35 (2σ) 23 games playedFeb 07, 2018 AdjME 0.19 ± 0.34 (2σ) 23 games playedFeb 08, 2018 AdjME 0.19 ± 0.35 (2σ) 23 games playedFeb 09, 2018 AdjME 0.19 ± 0.34 (2σ) 23 games playedFeb 10, 2018 AdjME 0.19 ± 0.35 (2σ) 24 games playedFeb 11, 2018 AdjME 0.19 ± 0.35 (2σ) 25 games playedFeb 12, 2018 AdjME 0.19 ± 0.35 (2σ) 25 games playedFeb 13, 2018 AdjME 0.19 ± 0.35 (2σ) 25 games playedFeb 14, 2018 AdjME 0.18 ± 0.34 (2σ) 25 games playedFeb 15, 2018 AdjME 0.18 ± 0.35 (2σ) 25 games playedFeb 16, 2018 AdjME 0.18 ± 0.35 (2σ) 26 games playedFeb 17, 2018 AdjME 0.18 ± 0.35 (2σ) 26 games playedFeb 18, 2018 AdjME 0.18 ± 0.35 (2σ) 26 games playedFeb 19, 2018 AdjME 0.18 ± 0.35 (2σ) 26 games playedFeb 20, 2018 AdjME 0.18 ± 0.35 (2σ) 26 games playedFeb 21, 2018 AdjME 0.18 ± 0.35 (2σ) 26 games playedFeb 22, 2018 AdjME 0.18 ± 0.35 (2σ) 26 games playedFeb 23, 2018 AdjME 0.18 ± 0.35 (2σ) 27 games playedFeb 24, 2018 AdjME 0.18 ± 0.35 (2σ) 27 games playedFeb 25, 2018 AdjME 0.18 ± 0.36 (2σ) 28 games playedFeb 26, 2018 AdjME 0.18 ± 0.35 (2σ) 28 games playedFeb 27, 2018 AdjME 0.18 ± 0.35 (2σ) 28 games playedFeb 28, 2018 AdjME 0.18 ± 0.35 (2σ) 28 games playedMar 01, 2018 AdjME 0.19 ± 0.36 (2σ) 28 games playedMar 02, 2018 AdjME 0.18 ± 0.35 (2σ) 29 games playedMar 03, 2018 AdjME 0.18 ± 0.35 (2σ) 29 games playedMar 04, 2018 AdjME 0.18 ± 0.35 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 05, 2018 AdjME 0.18 ± 0.35 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 06, 2018 AdjME 0.17 ± 0.35 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 07, 2018 AdjME 0.18 ± 0.35 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 08, 2018 AdjME 0.17 ± 0.35 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 09, 2018 AdjME 0.17 ± 0.35 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 10, 2018 AdjME 0.17 ± 0.35 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 11, 2018 AdjME 0.17 ± 0.36 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 11, 2018 AdjME 0.17 ± 0.35 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 13, 2018 AdjME 0.17 ± 0.35 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 14, 2018 AdjME 0.17 ± 0.35 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 15, 2018 AdjME 0.17 ± 0.36 (2σ) 32 games playedMar 16, 2018 AdjME 0.17 ± 0.35 (2σ) 32 games playedMar 17, 2018 AdjME 0.17 ± 0.36 (2σ) 32 games playedMar 18, 2018 AdjME 0.17 ± 0.35 (2σ) 32 games playedMar 19, 2018 AdjME 0.17 ± 0.35 (2σ) 32 games playedMar 20, 2018 AdjME 0.17 ± 0.35 (2σ) 32 games playedMar 21, 2018 AdjME 0.17 ± 0.35 (2σ) 32 games playedMar 22, 2018 AdjME 0.17 ± 0.35 (2σ) 32 games playedMar 23, 2018 AdjME 0.17 ± 0.35 (2σ) 32 games playedMar 24, 2018 AdjME 0.17 ± 0.35 (2σ) 32 games playedMar 25, 2018 AdjME 0.17 ± 0.36 (2σ) 32 games playedMar 25, 2018 AdjME 0.17 ± 0.35 (2σ) 32 games playedMar 27, 2018 AdjME 0.17 ± 0.36 (2σ) 32 games playedMar 28, 2018 AdjME 0.17 ± 0.36 (2σ) 32 games playedMar 29, 2018 AdjME 0.17 ± 0.35 (2σ) 32 games playedMar 30, 2018 AdjME 0.17 ± 0.36 (2σ) 32 games playedApr 01, 2018 AdjME 0.17 ± 0.36 (2σ) 32 games played
Walk-forward cutoff, season 2018
  • AdjME (smoothed)
  • ±2σ, the model's own uncertainty
  • D-I average at the season's latest cutoff
AdjME at each of 72 walk-forward cutoffs (train_cutoff_at) in season 2018. Hover or tap for the value, its ±2σ and games played at that cutoff. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The warm-up stretch is hidden — the toggle above brings it back. This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2018

SeasonWLPct
20182012 0.625

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdArizona State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2018-03-15 2018 Syracuse @ Arizona State N 60–56 ncaa_tournament
2018-03-07 2018 Arizona State @ Colorado N 85–97 conf_tournament
2018-03-03 2018 Stanford @ Arizona State 84–83 regular
2018-03-02 2018 California @ Arizona State 53–84 regular
2018-02-25 2018 Arizona State @ Oregon State 75–79 regular
2018-02-23 2018 Arizona State @ Oregon 68–75 regular
2018-02-16 2018 Arizona @ Arizona State 77–70 regular
2018-02-11 2018 UCLA @ Arizona State 79–88 regular
2018-02-09 2018 USC @ Arizona State 78–80 regular
2018-02-04 2018 Arizona State @ Washington State 88–78 regular
2018-02-02 2018 Arizona State @ Washington 64–68 regular
2018-01-28 2018 Colorado @ Arizona State 66–80 regular
2018-01-26 2018 Utah @ Arizona State 80–77 regular
2018-01-21 2018 Arizona State @ California 81–73 regular
2018-01-18 2018 Arizona State @ Stanford 77–86 regular
2018-01-13 2018 Oregon State @ Arizona State 75–77 regular
2018-01-12 2018 Oregon @ Arizona State 76–72 regular
2018-01-08 2018 Arizona State @ Utah 80–77 regular
2018-01-05 2018 Arizona State @ Colorado 81–90 regular
2017-12-31 2018 Arizona State @ Arizona 78–84 regular
2017-12-22 2018 Pacific @ Arizona State 65–104 regular
2017-12-20 2018 Longwood @ Arizona State 61–95 regular
2017-12-17 2018 Vanderbilt @ Arizona State 64–76 regular
2017-12-10 2018 Arizona State @ Kansas 95–85 regular
2017-12-09 2018 St. John's @ Arizona State N 70–82 regular
2017-12-03 2018 San Francisco @ Arizona State 57–75 regular
2017-11-24 2018 Arizona State @ Xavier N 102–86 regular
2017-11-24 2018 Arizona State @ Kansas State N 92–90 regular
2017-11-19 2018 UC Irvine @ Arizona State 78–99 regular
2017-11-18 2018 Northern Arizona @ Arizona State 62–97 regular
2017-11-15 2018 San Diego State @ Arizona State 68–90 regular
2017-11-11 2018 Idaho State @ Arizona State 74–94 regular