cbb·system

Arizona State Sun Devils

mens Pac-12 canonical name from espn_mbb #11 Round of 64 (out) 2019

Ratings · 2019

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.10 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.99 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.11 points per possession 0.18
PACE 71.44 possessions per game 4.43

At season 2019's latest cutoff (2019-04-07 00:49), with 35 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2017 · 2016 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Series smoothed · raw fit

Warm-up show · hidden

AdjME (points per possession)
Arizona State AdjME across walk-forward cutoffsD-I average 0.00 (Apr 07)Jan 18, 2019 AdjME 0.12 ± 0.34 (2σ) 18 games playedJan 19, 2019 AdjME 0.12 ± 0.35 (2σ) 18 games playedJan 20, 2019 AdjME 0.13 ± 0.34 (2σ) 19 games playedJan 21, 2019 AdjME 0.13 ± 0.35 (2σ) 19 games playedJan 22, 2019 AdjME 0.13 ± 0.34 (2σ) 19 games playedJan 23, 2019 AdjME 0.14 ± 0.34 (2σ) 19 games playedJan 24, 2019 AdjME 0.13 ± 0.34 (2σ) 19 games playedJan 25, 2019 AdjME 0.13 ± 0.34 (2σ) 19 games playedJan 26, 2019 AdjME 0.13 ± 0.34 (2σ) 20 games playedJan 27, 2019 AdjME 0.13 ± 0.35 (2σ) 21 games playedJan 28, 2019 AdjME 0.13 ± 0.34 (2σ) 21 games playedJan 29, 2019 AdjME 0.13 ± 0.35 (2σ) 21 games playedJan 30, 2019 AdjME 0.13 ± 0.35 (2σ) 21 games playedJan 31, 2019 AdjME 0.13 ± 0.35 (2σ) 21 games playedFeb 01, 2019 AdjME 0.14 ± 0.35 (2σ) 22 games playedFeb 02, 2019 AdjME 0.14 ± 0.35 (2σ) 22 games playedFeb 03, 2019 AdjME 0.15 ± 0.35 (2σ) 22 games playedFeb 03, 2019 AdjME 0.15 ± 0.35 (2σ) 22 games playedFeb 05, 2019 AdjME 0.15 ± 0.35 (2σ) 22 games playedFeb 07, 2019 AdjME 0.15 ± 0.35 (2σ) 22 games playedFeb 08, 2019 AdjME 0.14 ± 0.35 (2σ) 23 games playedFeb 09, 2019 AdjME 0.13 ± 0.36 (2σ) 23 games playedFeb 10, 2019 AdjME 0.13 ± 0.35 (2σ) 24 games playedFeb 11, 2019 AdjME 0.12 ± 0.35 (2σ) 24 games playedFeb 12, 2019 AdjME 0.12 ± 0.35 (2σ) 24 games playedFeb 13, 2019 AdjME 0.12 ± 0.36 (2σ) 24 games playedFeb 14, 2019 AdjME 0.12 ± 0.35 (2σ) 25 games playedFeb 15, 2019 AdjME 0.12 ± 0.36 (2σ) 25 games playedFeb 16, 2019 AdjME 0.12 ± 0.36 (2σ) 25 games playedFeb 17, 2019 AdjME 0.12 ± 0.35 (2σ) 26 games playedFeb 18, 2019 AdjME 0.12 ± 0.35 (2σ) 26 games playedFeb 20, 2019 AdjME 0.11 ± 0.35 (2σ) 26 games playedFeb 21, 2019 AdjME 0.12 ± 0.35 (2σ) 27 games playedFeb 22, 2019 AdjME 0.12 ± 0.35 (2σ) 27 games playedFeb 23, 2019 AdjME 0.12 ± 0.35 (2σ) 27 games playedFeb 24, 2019 AdjME 0.12 ± 0.35 (2σ) 27 games playedFeb 25, 2019 AdjME 0.13 ± 0.36 (2σ) 28 games playedFeb 26, 2019 AdjME 0.13 ± 0.36 (2σ) 28 games playedFeb 27, 2019 AdjME 0.13 ± 0.35 (2σ) 28 games playedFeb 28, 2019 AdjME 0.12 ± 0.36 (2σ) 28 games playedMar 01, 2019 AdjME 0.12 ± 0.35 (2σ) 28 games playedMar 02, 2019 AdjME 0.11 ± 0.36 (2σ) 29 games playedMar 03, 2019 AdjME 0.11 ± 0.36 (2σ) 29 games playedMar 04, 2019 AdjME 0.11 ± 0.36 (2σ) 29 games playedMar 05, 2019 AdjME 0.12 ± 0.36 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 06, 2019 AdjME 0.12 ± 0.36 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 07, 2019 AdjME 0.12 ± 0.36 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 08, 2019 AdjME 0.12 ± 0.36 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 09, 2019 AdjME 0.11 ± 0.36 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 10, 2019 AdjME 0.11 ± 0.36 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 11, 2019 AdjME 0.11 ± 0.36 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 12, 2019 AdjME 0.11 ± 0.36 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 13, 2019 AdjME 0.11 ± 0.36 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 16, 2019 AdjME 0.12 ± 0.36 (2σ) 33 games playedMar 17, 2019 AdjME 0.11 ± 0.36 (2σ) 33 games playedMar 17, 2019 AdjME 0.12 ± 0.36 (2σ) 33 games playedMar 18, 2019 AdjME 0.12 ± 0.36 (2σ) 33 games playedMar 20, 2019 AdjME 0.12 ± 0.36 (2σ) 33 games playedMar 21, 2019 AdjME 0.12 ± 0.36 (2σ) 34 games playedMar 22, 2019 AdjME 0.13 ± 0.36 (2σ) 34 games playedMar 23, 2019 AdjME 0.12 ± 0.36 (2σ) 35 games playedMar 24, 2019 AdjME 0.12 ± 0.36 (2σ) 35 games playedMar 25, 2019 AdjME 0.12 ± 0.36 (2σ) 35 games playedMar 26, 2019 AdjME 0.12 ± 0.37 (2σ) 35 games playedMar 27, 2019 AdjME 0.12 ± 0.36 (2σ) 35 games playedMar 28, 2019 AdjME 0.11 ± 0.36 (2σ) 35 games playedMar 29, 2019 AdjME 0.12 ± 0.36 (2σ) 35 games playedMar 30, 2019 AdjME 0.12 ± 0.36 (2σ) 35 games playedMar 31, 2019 AdjME 0.12 ± 0.36 (2σ) 35 games playedMar 31, 2019 AdjME 0.12 ± 0.36 (2σ) 35 games playedApr 01, 2019 AdjME 0.12 ± 0.36 (2σ) 35 games playedApr 03, 2019 AdjME 0.11 ± 0.36 (2σ) 35 games playedApr 04, 2019 AdjME 0.11 ± 0.36 (2σ) 35 games playedApr 04, 2019 AdjME 0.11 ± 0.36 (2σ) 35 games playedApr 05, 2019 AdjME 0.11 ± 0.37 (2σ) 35 games playedApr 07, 2019 AdjME 0.11 ± 0.37 (2σ) 35 games played
Walk-forward cutoff, season 2019
  • AdjME (smoothed)
  • ±2σ, the model's own uncertainty
  • D-I average at the season's latest cutoff
AdjME at each of 76 walk-forward cutoffs (train_cutoff_at) in season 2019. Hover or tap for the value, its ±2σ and games played at that cutoff. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The warm-up stretch is hidden — the toggle above brings it back. This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2019

SeasonWLPct
20192311 0.676

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdArizona State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2019-03-22 2019 Arizona State @ Buffalo N 74–91 ncaa_tournament
2019-03-21 2019 St. John's @ Arizona State N 65–74 ncaa_tournament
2019-03-16 2019 Oregon @ Arizona State N 79–75 conf_tournament
2019-03-15 2019 UCLA @ Arizona State N 72–83 conf_tournament
2019-03-09 2019 Arizona State @ Arizona 72–64 regular
2019-03-04 2019 Arizona State @ Oregon State 74–71 regular
2019-03-01 2019 Arizona State @ Oregon 51–79 regular
2019-02-24 2019 California @ Arizona State 59–69 regular
2019-02-21 2019 Stanford @ Arizona State 62–80 regular
2019-02-17 2019 Arizona State @ Utah 98–87 regular
2019-02-14 2019 Arizona State @ Colorado 73–77 regular
2019-02-10 2019 Washington @ Arizona State 63–75 regular
2019-02-08 2019 Washington State @ Arizona State 91–70 regular
2019-02-01 2019 Arizona @ Arizona State 88–95 regular
2019-01-27 2019 Arizona State @ USC 67–69 regular
2019-01-25 2019 Arizona State @ UCLA 84–73 regular
2019-01-20 2019 Oregon @ Arizona State 64–78 regular
2019-01-18 2019 Oregon State @ Arizona State 67–70 regular
2019-01-12 2019 Arizona State @ Stanford 71–85 regular
2019-01-10 2019 Arizona State @ California 80–66 regular
2019-01-05 2019 Colorado @ Arizona State 61–83 regular
2019-01-04 2019 Utah @ Arizona State 96–86 regular
2018-12-29 2019 Princeton @ Arizona State 67–66 regular
2018-12-23 2019 Kansas @ Arizona State 76–80 regular
2018-12-18 2019 Arizona State @ Vanderbilt 65–81 regular
2018-12-15 2019 Arizona State @ Georgia 76–74 regular
2018-12-08 2019 Nevada @ Arizona State N 72–66 regular
2018-12-02 2019 Texas Southern @ Arizona State 71–83 regular
2018-11-29 2019 Omaha @ Arizona State 71–89 regular
2018-11-22 2019 Arizona State @ Utah State N 87–82 regular
2018-11-20 2019 Mississippi State @ Arizona State N 67–72 regular
2018-11-17 2019 Arizona State @ San Francisco scheduled regular
2018-11-13 2019 Long Beach State @ Arizona State 58–90 regular
2018-11-10 2019 McNeese @ Arizona State 52–80 regular
2018-11-07 2019 Cal State Fullerton @ Arizona State 94–102 regular