cbb·system

Arizona State Sun Devils

mens Pac-12 canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2021

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.10 points per possession 0.12
DE 1.00 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.10 points per possession 0.18
PACE 72.60 possessions per game 4.59

At season 2021's latest cutoff (2021-04-04 00:47), with 34 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2016 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Series smoothed · raw fit

Warm-up show · hidden

AdjME (points per possession)
Arizona State AdjME across walk-forward cutoffsD-I average 0.00 (Apr 04)Jan 30, 2021 AdjME 0.08 ± 0.34 (2σ) 18 games playedJan 31, 2021 AdjME 0.08 ± 0.35 (2σ) 19 games playedFeb 01, 2021 AdjME 0.09 ± 0.35 (2σ) 19 games playedFeb 02, 2021 AdjME 0.09 ± 0.34 (2σ) 19 games playedFeb 03, 2021 AdjME 0.09 ± 0.35 (2σ) 20 games playedFeb 04, 2021 AdjME 0.08 ± 0.34 (2σ) 20 games playedFeb 05, 2021 AdjME 0.08 ± 0.34 (2σ) 20 games playedFeb 06, 2021 AdjME 0.08 ± 0.35 (2σ) 21 games playedFeb 08, 2021 AdjME 0.08 ± 0.35 (2σ) 22 games playedFeb 09, 2021 AdjME 0.08 ± 0.35 (2σ) 22 games playedFeb 10, 2021 AdjME 0.08 ± 0.35 (2σ) 22 games playedFeb 11, 2021 AdjME 0.08 ± 0.35 (2σ) 22 games playedFeb 12, 2021 AdjME 0.08 ± 0.35 (2σ) 23 games playedFeb 13, 2021 AdjME 0.08 ± 0.35 (2σ) 23 games playedFeb 14, 2021 AdjME 0.08 ± 0.35 (2σ) 23 games playedFeb 16, 2021 AdjME 0.07 ± 0.35 (2σ) 24 games playedFeb 17, 2021 AdjME 0.07 ± 0.35 (2σ) 24 games playedFeb 18, 2021 AdjME 0.07 ± 0.35 (2σ) 25 games playedFeb 19, 2021 AdjME 0.07 ± 0.34 (2σ) 25 games playedFeb 21, 2021 AdjME 0.07 ± 0.35 (2σ) 25 games playedFeb 22, 2021 AdjME 0.06 ± 0.35 (2σ) 26 games playedFeb 23, 2021 AdjME 0.07 ± 0.35 (2σ) 26 games playedFeb 24, 2021 AdjME 0.07 ± 0.35 (2σ) 26 games playedFeb 25, 2021 AdjME 0.07 ± 0.35 (2σ) 27 games playedFeb 26, 2021 AdjME 0.08 ± 0.35 (2σ) 28 games playedFeb 27, 2021 AdjME 0.08 ± 0.35 (2σ) 28 games playedFeb 28, 2021 AdjME 0.08 ± 0.35 (2σ) 29 games playedMar 02, 2021 AdjME 0.08 ± 0.35 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 03, 2021 AdjME 0.08 ± 0.35 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 04, 2021 AdjME 0.08 ± 0.35 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 05, 2021 AdjME 0.08 ± 0.35 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 06, 2021 AdjME 0.08 ± 0.35 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 07, 2021 AdjME 0.08 ± 0.35 (2σ) 32 games playedMar 08, 2021 AdjME 0.07 ± 0.35 (2σ) 32 games playedMar 09, 2021 AdjME 0.07 ± 0.35 (2σ) 32 games playedMar 10, 2021 AdjME 0.07 ± 0.35 (2σ) 32 games playedMar 11, 2021 AdjME 0.07 ± 0.35 (2σ) 33 games playedMar 12, 2021 AdjME 0.06 ± 0.35 (2σ) 34 games playedMar 13, 2021 AdjME 0.06 ± 0.36 (2σ) 34 games playedMar 14, 2021 AdjME 0.06 ± 0.35 (2σ) 34 games playedMar 19, 2021 AdjME 0.06 ± 0.36 (2σ) 34 games playedMar 20, 2021 AdjME 0.06 ± 0.35 (2σ) 34 games playedMar 21, 2021 AdjME 0.07 ± 0.35 (2σ) 34 games playedMar 22, 2021 AdjME 0.07 ± 0.35 (2σ) 34 games playedMar 23, 2021 AdjME 0.07 ± 0.35 (2σ) 34 games playedMar 24, 2021 AdjME 0.07 ± 0.35 (2σ) 34 games playedMar 25, 2021 AdjME 0.08 ± 0.37 (2σ) 34 games playedMar 26, 2021 AdjME 0.08 ± 0.36 (2σ) 34 games playedMar 28, 2021 AdjME 0.09 ± 0.35 (2σ) 34 games playedMar 30, 2021 AdjME 0.09 ± 0.35 (2σ) 34 games playedMar 31, 2021 AdjME 0.09 ± 0.35 (2σ) 34 games playedApr 04, 2021 AdjME 0.10 ± 0.35 (2σ) 34 games played
Walk-forward cutoff, season 2021
  • AdjME (smoothed)
  • ±2σ, the model's own uncertainty
  • D-I average at the season's latest cutoff
AdjME at each of 52 walk-forward cutoffs (train_cutoff_at) in season 2021. Hover or tap for the value, its ±2σ and games played at that cutoff. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The warm-up stretch is hidden — the toggle above brings it back. This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2021

SeasonWLPct
20211114 0.440

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdArizona State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2021-03-11 2021 Arizona State @ Oregon N 73–91 conf_tournament
2021-03-10 2021 Washington State @ Arizona State N 59–64 conf_tournament
2021-03-06 2021 Arizona State @ Utah 59–98 regular
2021-03-05 2021 Arizona State @ Colorado 61–75 regular
2021-03-01 2021 Washington State @ Arizona State canceled regular
2021-02-28 2021 Washington State @ Arizona State 74–77 regular
2021-02-26 2021 Washington @ Arizona State 72–80 regular
2021-02-24 2021 Washington @ Arizona State 64–97 regular
2021-02-21 2021 Arizona State @ UCLA 79–80 regular
2021-02-18 2021 Arizona State @ USC 71–89 regular
2021-02-15 2021 Oregon State @ Arizona State 73–75 regular
2021-02-12 2021 Oregon @ Arizona State 75–64 regular
2021-02-07 2021 Arizona State @ Utah scheduled regular
2021-02-05 2021 Arizona State @ Colorado scheduled regular
2021-02-02 2021 Utah @ Arizona State canceled regular
2021-01-31 2021 Stanford @ Arizona State 75–79 regular
2021-01-29 2021 California @ Arizona State 68–72 regular
2021-01-26 2021 Arizona State @ Arizona 67–80 regular
2021-01-22 2021 Arizona @ Arizona State 84–82 regular
2021-01-17 2021 Arizona State @ Oregon State 79–80 regular
2021-01-15 2021 Arizona State @ Oregon canceled regular
2021-01-10 2021 USC @ Arizona State 73–64 regular
2021-01-08 2021 UCLA @ Arizona State 81–75 regular
2021-01-02 2021 Arizona State @ Washington canceled regular
2020-12-31 2021 Arizona State @ Washington State canceled regular
2020-12-23 2021 Utah @ Arizona State canceled regular
2020-12-18 2021 Incarnate Word @ Arizona State canceled regular
2020-12-17 2021 UTEP @ Arizona State 76–63 regular
2020-12-13 2021 Arizona State @ Grand Canyon 71–70 regular
2020-12-11 2021 San Diego State @ Arizona State 80–68 regular
2020-12-04 2021 Arizona State @ California 70–62 regular
2020-11-29 2021 Houston Christian @ Arizona State 77–100 regular
2020-11-27 2021 Villanova @ Arizona State N 83–74 regular
2020-11-26 2021 Arizona State @ Rhode Island N 94–88 regular