cbb·system

Arizona State Sun Devils

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Round of 32 (out) 2014

Ratings · 2014

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.07 points per possession 0.11
DE 0.83 points per possession 0.12
ME 0.24 points per possession 0.17
PACE 69.03 possessions per game 4.88

At season 2014's latest cutoff (2014-04-09 00:30), with 33 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Arizona State AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2014. Axis spans -0.13 to 0.63 over 114 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2014

SeasonWLPct
20142310 0.697

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbArizona State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2014-03-24 2014 Arizona State @ Notre Dame N 67–84 ncaa_tournament
2014-03-22 2014 Arizona State @ Vanderbilt N 69–61 ncaa_tournament
2014-03-07 2014 USC @ Arizona State N 59–57 conf_tournament
2014-03-02 2014 Arizona State @ Oregon State 43–66 regular
2014-03-01 2014 Arizona State @ Oregon 90–98 regular
2014-02-23 2014 Utah @ Arizona State 40–60 regular
2014-02-22 2014 Colorado @ Arizona State 51–55 regular
2014-02-17 2014 Arizona State @ California 63–74 regular
2014-02-15 2014 Arizona State @ Stanford 35–61 regular
2014-02-09 2014 Arizona State @ Arizona 49–68 regular
2014-02-05 2014 Arizona @ Arizona State 36–60 regular
2014-02-02 2014 Oregon @ Arizona State 94–97 regular
2014-02-01 2014 Oregon State @ Arizona State 62–64 regular
2014-01-26 2014 Arizona State @ Colorado 68–66 regular
2014-01-25 2014 Arizona State @ Utah 65–62 regular
2014-01-21 2014 Stanford @ Arizona State 80–56 regular
2014-01-17 2014 California @ Arizona State 59–68 regular
2014-01-12 2014 UCLA @ Arizona State 57–59 regular
2014-01-11 2014 USC @ Arizona State 86–94 regular
2014-01-05 2014 Arizona State @ Washington 78–60 regular
2014-01-04 2014 Arizona State @ Washington State 78–85 regular
2013-12-31 2014 Syracuse @ Arizona State 60–63 regular
2013-12-21 2014 Miami @ Arizona State 73–75 regular
2013-12-15 2014 Arizona State @ Cal State Fullerton 81–55 regular
2013-12-08 2014 Long Beach State @ Arizona State 67–74 regular
2013-12-07 2014 Sacred Heart @ Arizona State 49–81 regular
2013-11-30 2014 Arkansas State @ Arizona State N 66–69 regular
2013-11-29 2014 Arizona State @ North Carolina N 94–81 regular
2013-11-28 2014 Illinois @ Arizona State N 60–84 regular
2013-11-23 2014 Providence @ Arizona State 65–86 regular
2013-11-17 2014 Arizona State @ Texas Tech 85–77 regular
2013-11-14 2014 Arizona State @ San Diego 53–61 regular
2013-11-09 2014 Hawai'i @ Arizona State 44–84 regular