cbb·system

Arizona State Sun Devils

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2020

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.06 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.80 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.26 points per possession 0.18
PACE 65.15 possessions per game 4.86

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-12 18:00), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Arizona State AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020. Axis spans -0.18 to 0.69 over 107 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

SeasonWLPct
20202011 0.645

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbArizona State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2020-03-05 2020 California @ Arizona State N 71–67 conf_tournament
2020-03-01 2020 Stanford @ Arizona State 55–44 regular
2020-02-29 2020 California @ Arizona State 54–77 regular
2020-02-23 2020 Arizona State @ Utah 71–75 regular
2020-02-22 2020 Arizona State @ Colorado 65–59 regular
2020-02-16 2020 Washington @ Arizona State 68–72 regular
2020-02-15 2020 Washington State @ Arizona State 59–62 regular
2020-02-09 2020 Arizona State @ Oregon 48–79 regular
2020-02-08 2020 Arizona State @ Oregon State 62–64 regular
2020-02-02 2020 UCLA @ Arizona State 70–61 regular
2020-01-31 2020 USC @ Arizona State 75–76 regular
2020-01-25 2020 Arizona State @ Arizona 53–59 regular
2020-01-19 2020 Arizona State @ Washington State 65–56 regular
2020-01-18 2020 Arizona State @ Washington 67–50 regular
2020-01-12 2020 Oregon State @ Arizona State 47–55 regular
2020-01-11 2020 Oregon @ Arizona State 66–72 regular
2020-01-05 2020 Arizona State @ USC 63–54 regular
2020-01-04 2020 Arizona State @ UCLA 66–68 regular
2019-12-29 2020 Arizona @ Arizona State 58–53 regular
2019-12-20 2020 Creighton @ Arizona State 55–70 regular
2019-12-18 2020 Arizona State @ New Mexico State 70–47 regular
2019-12-14 2020 New Mexico @ Arizona State 47–84 regular
2019-12-08 2020 Idaho State @ Arizona State 69–74 regular
2019-12-07 2020 BYU @ Arizona State 52–60 regular
2019-12-01 2020 Arizona State @ Middle Tennessee 61–60 regular
2019-12-01 2020 Purdue @ Arizona State N 59–52 regular
2019-11-29 2020 Maine @ Arizona State N 31–57 regular
2019-11-25 2020 Cal Poly @ Arizona State 41–66 regular
2019-11-17 2020 Arizona State @ Minnesota 66–80 regular
2019-11-11 2020 Army @ Arizona State 51–83 regular
2019-11-06 2020 Air Force @ Arizona State 56–87 regular