Illinois State Redbirds
womens
canonical name from espn_wbb
Ratings · 2018
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 0.83 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 0.90 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | -0.07 | points per possession | 0.19 |
| PACE | 62.39 | possessions per game | 5.20 |
At season 2018's latest cutoff
(2018-04-01 22:00),
with 30 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2018.
Axis spans -0.52 to 0.33 over
123 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
25).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2018
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 14 | 16 | 0.467 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| espn_wbb | Illinois State | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-03-10 | 2018 | Illinois State @ Northern Iowa N | 36–56 | conf_tournament |
| 2018-03-03 | 2018 | Illinois State @ Bradley | 53–41 | regular |
| 2018-02-25 | 2018 | Illinois State @ Drake | 64–80 | regular |
| 2018-02-24 | 2018 | Illinois State @ Northern Iowa | 48–66 | regular |
| 2018-02-18 | 2018 | Evansville @ Illinois State | 44–70 | regular |
| 2018-02-17 | 2018 | Indiana State @ Illinois State | 53–63 | regular |
| 2018-02-11 | 2018 | Illinois State @ Missouri State | 58–75 | regular |
| 2018-02-10 | 2018 | Illinois State @ Southern Illinois | 39–36 | regular |
| 2018-02-04 | 2018 | Valparaiso @ Illinois State | 55–63 | regular |
| 2018-02-03 | 2018 | Loyola Chicago @ Illinois State | 49–57 | regular |
| 2018-01-28 | 2018 | Northern Iowa @ Illinois State | 58–36 | regular |
| 2018-01-27 | 2018 | Drake @ Illinois State | 65–58 | regular |
| 2018-01-21 | 2018 | Illinois State @ Indiana State | 49–52 | regular |
| 2018-01-20 | 2018 | Illinois State @ Evansville | 67–43 | regular |
| 2018-01-14 | 2018 | Southern Illinois @ Illinois State | 46–49 | regular |
| 2018-01-13 | 2018 | Missouri State @ Illinois State | 56–50 | regular |
| 2018-01-07 | 2018 | Illinois State @ Loyola Chicago | 59–62 | regular |
| 2018-01-06 | 2018 | Illinois State @ Valparaiso | 50–56 | regular |
| 2017-12-31 | 2018 | Bradley @ Illinois State | 62–42 | regular |
| 2017-12-21 | 2018 | Northeastern @ Illinois State N | 55–65 | regular |
| 2017-12-20 | 2018 | Illinois State @ Long Beach State | 59–51 | regular |
| 2017-12-17 | 2018 | Cleveland State @ Illinois State | 56–47 | regular |
| 2017-12-10 | 2018 | Eastern Michigan @ Illinois State | 56–65 | regular |
| 2017-12-08 | 2018 | Illinois State @ Milwaukee | 59–61 | regular |
| 2017-12-03 | 2018 | Butler @ Illinois State | 56–45 | regular |
| 2017-12-01 | 2018 | SIU Edwardsville @ Illinois State | 47–62 | regular |
| 2017-11-26 | 2018 | Kansas City @ Illinois State | 53–64 | regular |
| 2017-11-22 | 2018 | Illinois State @ George Mason | 37–56 | regular |
| 2017-11-16 | 2018 | Northern Kentucky @ Illinois State | 37–49 | regular |
| 2017-11-11 | 2018 | Illinois State @ Oakland | 43–64 | regular |