Illinois State Redbirds
womens
canonical name from espn_wbb
Ratings · 2019
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 0.88 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 0.93 | points per possession | 0.14 |
| ME | -0.06 | points per possession | 0.19 |
| PACE | 64.24 | possessions per game | 5.11 |
At season 2019's latest cutoff
(2019-04-07 22:00),
with 30 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2019.
Axis spans -1.35 to 1.48 over
130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
25).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2019
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 19 | 12 | 0.613 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| espn_wbb | Illinois State | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-03-16 | 2019 | Illinois State @ Drake N | 54–65 | conf_tournament |
| 2019-03-15 | 2019 | Bradley @ Illinois State N | 55–61 | conf_tournament |
| 2019-03-09 | 2019 | Illinois State @ Northern Iowa | 54–53 | regular |
| 2019-03-08 | 2019 | Illinois State @ Drake | 61–88 | regular |
| 2019-03-03 | 2019 | Valparaiso @ Illinois State | 53–74 | regular |
| 2019-03-01 | 2019 | Loyola Chicago @ Illinois State | 52–65 | regular |
| 2019-02-23 | 2019 | Illinois State @ Bradley | 65–75 | regular |
| 2019-02-17 | 2019 | Illinois State @ Southern Illinois | 68–66 | regular |
| 2019-02-16 | 2019 | Illinois State @ Missouri State | 60–56 | regular |
| 2019-02-10 | 2019 | Indiana State @ Illinois State | 70–78 | regular |
| 2019-02-09 | 2019 | Evansville @ Illinois State | 59–82 | regular |
| 2019-02-03 | 2019 | Illinois State @ Valparaiso | 70–67 | regular |
| 2019-02-02 | 2019 | Illinois State @ Loyola Chicago | 59–62 | regular |
| 2019-01-26 | 2019 | Bradley @ Illinois State | 79–68 | regular |
| 2019-01-20 | 2019 | Missouri State @ Illinois State | 59–47 | regular |
| 2019-01-19 | 2019 | Southern Illinois @ Illinois State | 52–60 | regular |
| 2019-01-13 | 2019 | Illinois State @ Evansville | 72–61 | regular |
| 2019-01-12 | 2019 | Illinois State @ Indiana State | 44–59 | regular |
| 2019-01-06 | 2019 | Drake @ Illinois State | 82–64 | regular |
| 2019-01-05 | 2019 | Northern Iowa @ Illinois State | 64–66 | regular |
| 2018-12-30 | 2019 | Illinois State @ Kansas City | 62–55 | regular |
| 2018-12-20 | 2019 | Saint Louis @ Illinois State | 67–72 | regular |
| 2018-12-16 | 2019 | Maryville (MO) @ Illinois State | 52–61 | non_d1 |
| 2018-12-08 | 2019 | Illinois State @ Northern Kentucky | 58–53 | regular |
| 2018-12-05 | 2019 | Austin Peay @ Illinois State | 49–61 | regular |
| 2018-11-30 | 2019 | Oakland @ Illinois State | 56–62 | regular |
| 2018-11-25 | 2019 | Illinois State @ Butler | 56–58 | regular |
| 2018-11-20 | 2019 | Illinois State @ Cleveland State | 63–67 | regular |
| 2018-11-17 | 2019 | Illinois State @ Eastern Michigan | 41–50 | regular |
| 2018-11-15 | 2019 | North Dakota @ Illinois State | 55–67 | regular |
| 2018-11-11 | 2019 | Illinois State @ SIU Edwardsville | 61–68 | regular |