cbb·system

Duke Blue Devils

mens ACC canonical name from espn_mbb #2 Final Four (out) 2022

Ratings · 2022

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.24 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.95 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.28 points per possession 0.18
PACE 67.05 possessions per game 4.45

At season 2022's latest cutoff (2022-04-05 01:20), with 41 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up show · hidden

Duke AdjME across walk-forward cutoffs
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2022. Axis spans -0.13 to 0.66 over 77 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The warm-up stretch is hidden — the toggle above brings it back. This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2022

SeasonWLPct
2022327 0.821

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdDuke auto
odds_apiDuke auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2022-04-03 2022 North Carolina @ Duke N 81–77 ncaa_tournament
2022-03-27 2022 Arkansas @ Duke N 69–78 ncaa_tournament
2022-03-25 2022 Texas Tech @ Duke N 73–78 ncaa_tournament
2022-03-20 2022 Michigan State @ Duke N 76–85 ncaa_tournament
2022-03-18 2022 Cal State Fullerton @ Duke N 61–78 ncaa_tournament
2022-03-13 2022 Virginia Tech @ Duke N 82–67 conf_tournament
2022-03-12 2022 Miami @ Duke N 76–80 conf_tournament
2022-03-10 2022 Syracuse @ Duke N 79–88 conf_tournament
2022-03-05 2022 North Carolina @ Duke 94–81 regular
2022-03-02 2022 Duke @ Pittsburgh 86–56 regular
2022-02-26 2022 Duke @ Syracuse 97–72 regular
2022-02-24 2022 Duke @ Virginia 65–61 regular
2022-02-19 2022 Florida State @ Duke 70–88 regular
2022-02-16 2022 Wake Forest @ Duke 74–76 regular
2022-02-12 2022 Duke @ Boston College 72–61 regular
2022-02-11 2022 Duke @ Clemson 82–64 regular
2022-02-08 2022 Virginia @ Duke 69–68 regular
2022-02-05 2022 Duke @ North Carolina 87–67 regular
2022-02-01 2022 Duke @ Notre Dame 57–43 regular
2022-01-29 2022 Duke @ Louisville 74–65 regular
2022-01-26 2022 Clemson @ Duke 69–71 regular
2022-01-22 2022 Syracuse @ Duke 59–79 regular
2022-01-19 2022 Duke @ Florida State 78–79 regular
2022-01-15 2022 NC State @ Duke 73–88 regular
2022-01-13 2022 Duke @ Wake Forest 76–64 regular
2022-01-09 2022 Miami @ Duke 76–74 regular
2022-01-05 2022 Georgia Tech @ Duke 57–69 regular
2022-01-01 2022 Duke @ Notre Dame scheduled regular
2021-12-29 2022 Duke @ Clemson scheduled regular
2021-12-23 2022 Virginia Tech @ Duke 65–76 regular
2021-12-18 2022 Elon @ Duke 56–87 regular
2021-12-17 2022 App State @ Duke 67–92 regular
2021-12-15 2022 South Carolina State @ Duke 62–103 regular
2021-12-01 2022 Duke @ Ohio State 66–71 regular
2021-11-27 2022 Gonzaga @ Duke N 81–84 regular
2021-11-23 2022 The Citadel @ Duke 81–107 regular
2021-11-20 2022 Lafayette @ Duke 55–88 regular
2021-11-17 2022 Gardner-Webb @ Duke 52–92 regular
2021-11-14 2022 Campbell @ Duke 56–67 regular
2021-11-13 2022 Army @ Duke 56–82 regular
2021-11-10 2022 Kentucky @ Duke N 71–79 regular