Duke Blue Devils
mens
ACC
canonical name from espn_mbb
Ratings · 2021
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.18 | points per possession | 0.12 |
| DE | 0.96 | points per possession | 0.14 |
| ME | 0.22 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 68.03 | possessions per game | 4.54 |
At season 2021's latest cutoff
(2021-04-04 00:47),
with 31 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2021.
Axis spans -0.39 to 0.59 over
110 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2021
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 13 | 11 | 0.542 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Duke | auto |
| odds_api | Duke | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-03-11 | 2021 | Duke @ Florida State N | scheduled | conf_tournament |
| 2021-03-10 | 2021 | Duke @ Louisville N | 70–56 | conf_tournament |
| 2021-03-09 | 2021 | Boston College @ Duke N | 51–86 | conf_tournament |
| 2021-03-06 | 2021 | Duke @ North Carolina | 73–91 | regular |
| 2021-03-03 | 2021 | Duke @ Georgia Tech | 77–81 | regular |
| 2021-02-27 | 2021 | Louisville @ Duke | 80–73 | regular |
| 2021-02-23 | 2021 | Syracuse @ Duke | 71–85 | regular |
| 2021-02-21 | 2021 | Virginia @ Duke | 65–66 | regular |
| 2021-02-18 | 2021 | Duke @ Wake Forest | 84–60 | regular |
| 2021-02-13 | 2021 | Duke @ NC State | 69–53 | regular |
| 2021-02-09 | 2021 | Notre Dame @ Duke | 93–89 | regular |
| 2021-02-06 | 2021 | North Carolina @ Duke | 91–87 | regular |
| 2021-02-02 | 2021 | Duke @ Miami | 75–77 | regular |
| 2021-01-30 | 2021 | Clemson @ Duke | 53–79 | regular |
| 2021-01-27 | 2021 | Georgia Tech @ Duke | 68–75 | regular |
| 2021-01-23 | 2021 | Duke @ Louisville | 65–70 | regular |
| 2021-01-20 | 2021 | Duke @ Pittsburgh | 73–79 | regular |
| 2021-01-13 | 2021 | Duke @ Virginia Tech | 67–74 | regular |
| 2021-01-09 | 2021 | Wake Forest @ Duke | 68–79 | regular |
| 2021-01-07 | 2021 | Boston College @ Duke | 82–83 | regular |
| 2021-01-03 | 2021 | Duke @ Florida State | canceled | regular |
| 2020-12-30 | 2021 | Pittsburgh @ Duke | canceled | regular |
| 2020-12-19 | 2021 | Gardner-Webb @ Duke | canceled | regular |
| 2020-12-17 | 2021 | Duke @ Notre Dame | 75–65 | regular |
| 2020-12-12 | 2021 | Charleston Southern @ Duke | canceled | regular |
| 2020-12-09 | 2021 | Illinois @ Duke | 83–68 | regular |
| 2020-12-06 | 2021 | Elon @ Duke | canceled | regular |
| 2020-12-05 | 2021 | Bellarmine @ Duke | 54–76 | regular |
| 2020-12-02 | 2021 | Michigan State @ Duke | 75–69 | regular |
| 2020-11-28 | 2021 | Coppin State @ Duke | 71–81 | regular |
| 2020-11-26 | 2021 | Gardner-Webb @ Duke | scheduled | regular |